GOP Candidates: Who does the best against Obama?

Discussion in 'Blazers OT Forum' started by Denny Crane, May 5, 2011.

  1. BLAZER PROPHET

    BLAZER PROPHET Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    18,725
    Likes Received:
    191
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Occupation:
    dental malpractice claims adjuster
    Location:
    Portland area
    I know I may get flak for this, but I think the smartest of the group is Newt. But he is unelectable.

    It'll be a difficult task to beat Obama. He has lost a lot of the independent vote he had last election, but I think they will gravitate more to a moderate like Romney. But He doesn't sit well with hard line conservatives or tea party candidates and they may not come out to vote for him.

    Paul is too old. Palin too stupid. I think it'll be Huckabee as the nominee. I also think he represents the GOP standard and status quo, so it'd be a "same old" vote.
     
  2. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    72,978
    Likes Received:
    10,673
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Never lost a case
    Location:
    Boston Legal
    The Democrats were in a very similar situation in 1992. GHW Bush was riding outrageously high approval ratings and there was no front runner in the race. Bill Clinton, failed governor of a tiny state went on to win the nomination. He was sorta the Dems' tea party guy, see the DLC.

    How'd that work out?
     
  3. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    26,226
    Likes Received:
    14,407
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    User Interface Designer
    Location:
    Hello darkness, my old friend
    If the Republicans' best hope is a miracle run equivalent to Bill Clinton's, more power to them. Clinton was also one of the most talented campaigners in recent history. There is a guy like that in the 2012 field, but he's the sitting President.

    I don't think anyone thinks Obama is guaranteed to win re-election, but it doesn't look good for the Republicans. A basketball team that's trailing by 20 in the fourth quarter can look to examples of teams overcoming such deficits, but that doesn't mean they're in a good position to win.
     
  4. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    72,978
    Likes Received:
    10,673
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Never lost a case
    Location:
    Boston Legal
    Clinton was able to beat the likes of Al Gore, who was not an unknown. The flaw in your thinking is that some unknown guy is not a good campaigner. How can you know the unknown?
     
  5. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    26,226
    Likes Received:
    14,407
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    User Interface Designer
    Location:
    Hello darkness, my old friend
    That isn't a flaw in my thinking, because I never said any such thing. I simply said that betting on a miracle (that some unknown happens to be one of the best campaigners of a political generation) is not a particularly strong situation to be in. It could certainly happen. It's within the realm of the possible, which is precisely why I said no one believes that a second term is already in the bag for Obama.
     
  6. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    72,978
    Likes Received:
    10,673
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Never lost a case
    Location:
    Boston Legal
    What I see is the republican party establishment picks their candidate and push him through the primaries. The closest thing to a guy getting in who wasn't the establishment's choice would be McCain in 2000. If they're going to insist upon pushing the social conservative agenda, then their best campaigner to date (Paul) isn't going to be the nominee. In all the debates last time around, people thought Paul won. He raised enormous amounts of money for an end of the bench candidate.

    Combine Paul and (believe it or not) Palin (not as VP even), and you may see republicans raise as much as Obama. And I don't think Obama was that great a campaigner or communicator, just that he had an unprecedented amount of money.
     
  7. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

    Joined:
    Sep 12, 2008
    Messages:
    28,303
    Likes Received:
    5,884
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Merchant Banker
    Location:
    Denver, CO & Lake Oswego, OR
    I could only wish those that favor limited government had someone as smart and politically savvy as Bill Clinton.
     
  8. BLAZER PROPHET

    BLAZER PROPHET Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    18,725
    Likes Received:
    191
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Occupation:
    dental malpractice claims adjuster
    Location:
    Portland area
    I think when Clinton was elected it had zero to do with his campaigning and all to do with Bush's complete indifference and the way the democrats shut down congress. And since then the congress has basically followed the same pattern.
     
  9. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    34,357
    Likes Received:
    25,394
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Blazer OT board
    Perhaps it's not an accident that they don't.

    barfo
     
  10. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

    Joined:
    Sep 12, 2008
    Messages:
    28,303
    Likes Received:
    5,884
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Merchant Banker
    Location:
    Denver, CO & Lake Oswego, OR
    The people that favor limited government that have real talent you generally find in the private sector. If you were of the mindset that government wasn't all that effective, why would you participate in it?
     
  11. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    26,226
    Likes Received:
    14,407
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    User Interface Designer
    Location:
    Hello darkness, my old friend
    To change it in the way that you and they favor (i.e. limit it)?
     
  12. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

    Joined:
    Sep 12, 2008
    Messages:
    28,303
    Likes Received:
    5,884
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Merchant Banker
    Location:
    Denver, CO & Lake Oswego, OR
    It's small potatoes to making your mark in the private sector. For those on the Left, making their mark in government is their highest calling.
     
  13. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    26,226
    Likes Received:
    14,407
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    User Interface Designer
    Location:
    Hello darkness, my old friend
    If it's not particularly important to you guys, why do you complain so much about government?
     
  14. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

    Joined:
    Sep 12, 2008
    Messages:
    28,303
    Likes Received:
    5,884
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Merchant Banker
    Location:
    Denver, CO & Lake Oswego, OR
    Your little game is boring. Go find someone else to play.
     
  15. Minstrel

    Minstrel Top Of The Pops Global Moderator

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    26,226
    Likes Received:
    14,407
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    User Interface Designer
    Location:
    Hello darkness, my old friend
    No, I was just highlighting your attempt to have your cake and eat it too: pretend that government is far too unimportant for real achievers yet, on the other hand, speaking in dire tones about how Obama (and "the Left") is destroying our children's futures.

    As usual, though, when your lack of logic is exposed and you can't defend your position, you hit the eject button of "you bore me, please stop talking to me." No worries, I'll keep pointing out the flaws in your reasoning and you can keep pretending that you're bored by it. :)
     
  16. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    72,978
    Likes Received:
    10,673
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Never lost a case
    Location:
    Boston Legal
    I don't see why it's hard to understand that someone who's successful in the business world might want to contribute something back to society by performing public service. Schwarzenegger could have made a lot more money making movies than being governor.
     
  17. barfo

    barfo triggered obsessive commie pinko boomer maniac Staff Member Global Moderator

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    34,357
    Likes Received:
    25,394
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Blazer OT board
    And he would have been contributing more to society, too.

    barfo
     
  18. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

    Joined:
    May 24, 2007
    Messages:
    72,978
    Likes Received:
    10,673
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Never lost a case
    Location:
    Boston Legal
    Yeah, by not sticking the taxpayers with the bill for the losses we incur for green energy programs.
     
  19. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

    Joined:
    Sep 12, 2008
    Messages:
    28,303
    Likes Received:
    5,884
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Merchant Banker
    Location:
    Denver, CO & Lake Oswego, OR
    Yeah, that's right; you got me. I understand why people on the Left can't see my point--why wouldn't someone want to work in government, even to downsize it?--but like I said, you're just playing a little game and I'm not interested in playing.
     
  20. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

    Joined:
    Sep 12, 2008
    Messages:
    28,303
    Likes Received:
    5,884
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Merchant Banker
    Location:
    Denver, CO & Lake Oswego, OR
    Do you really believe Arnold Schwarzenegger is the kind of person of which I'm speaking? And what if someone believes that "public service" is a self-congratulatory title given by people who wish to suck off the teet of the citizenry? Jesus, how much more privatizing of gains and socializing of losses by people who don't understand the inner workings of their own businesses (paging Misters Willumstad and Blankfein, paging Misters Willumstad and Blankfein) can we take?

    It may be surprising to some, but there are people who (gasp!) may be even more brilliant and eloquent than our Washington masters who believe that Washington is a waste of time and the best way to deal with it is simply to try to avoid it as much as possible.
     

Share This Page