Guidelines for the next 2 night!!!!!!!!!!

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by THE HCP, Apr 13, 2010.

  1. EPIC FAIL GILDERHUS

    EPIC FAIL GILDERHUS Dakotah!

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    UTH PHO DAL PHO -> 2.DAL 55-27, 3.PHO 54-28, 4.DEN 53-29, 5.UTH 53-29
    GS PHO DAL PHO -> 2.DAL 55-27, 3.PHO 54-28, 4.DEN 53-29, 5.UTH 52-30
    UTH PHO SA PHO -> 2.DAL 54-28, 3.PHO 54-28, 4.DEN 53-29, 5.UTH 53-29
    GS PHO SA PHO -> 2.DAL 54-28, 3.PHO 54-28, 4.DEN 53-29, 5.UTH 52-30


    So pretty much to get the best possible bracket, the lynchpin is the Suns winning two. Its possible, esp. with the fact that Utah can win against GS, and then they'll be coming off a back to back; although the Suns will be too...
     
  2. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    My boy just told me that Denver has lost the last 10 times in PHX! I'm so confused!
     
  3. GoBlazersGo

    GoBlazersGo Well-Known Member

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    Doesn't matter, brother... the Suns are winning tonight (and tomorrow)! :devilwink:
     
  4. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    UTH PHO DAL PHO -> 2.DAL 55-27, 3.PHO 54-28, 4.DEN 53-29, 5.UTH 53-29
    GS PHO DAL PHO -> 2.DAL 55-27, 3.PHO 54-28, 4.DEN 53-29, 5.UTH 52-30
    UTH PHO SA PHO -> 2.DAL 54-28, 3.PHO 54-28, 4.DEN 53-29, 5.UTH 53-29
    GS PHO SA PHO -> 2.DAL 54-28, 3.PHO 54-28, 4.DEN 53-29, 5.UTH 52-30


    WHAT THE FUCK ARE ALL THESE #'S SUPPOSED TO MEAN FAMS!?!?!?
     
  5. hasoos

    hasoos Well-Known Member

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    Now we just need a mathmetician to take the time to go through the scenarios, and calculate out the chance for each scenario to come to fruition! Why? Because it will be absolutely fricking useless!:NOTMARIS:
     
  6. <-=*PdX*=->

    <-=*PdX*=-> RCTID

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    Amen to that!

    let me explain it to you using one line as example.
    GS = Golden State won the game against Utah
    PHO = Phoenix won the game against Denver
    DAL - Dallas beat the Spurs
    PHO = Phoenix beat the Jazz

    then after that its the teams seed with their record. So Dallas is the 2 seed with a 55-27 record. Its not that hard to understand for people that know how to read numbers!
     
  7. <-=*PdX*=->

    <-=*PdX*=-> RCTID

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    Well idk about you, but I am pretty bored between now and when the games start on TNT tonight... so why not look at these numbers and see which outcome you would like and then cheer for one team to win each game. It makes watching these important games even better to me.
     
  8. hasoos

    hasoos Well-Known Member

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    Hell I just watch them because I like to see the bad blood brewing early. Last night when they were interviewing Billups, one of the reporters mentioned Denver hasn't won in PHX in the last 6 years. Even the press is into stirring the pot and getting the bad blood going. My guess is Denver/PHX is one hell of a game. The matchups are great, both teams like to get out and run a little bit, and both teams fighting for home court. It doesn't get much better.
     
  9. Blazer_Hippie

    Blazer_Hippie Batum getting ballsy!

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    Hmm...well my post didn't show up...so...


    Does anyone know when playoff tix go on sale? I know it's the bogus "online only" thing but does anyone know when the onsale day/time is?
     
  10. <-=*PdX*=->

    <-=*PdX*=-> RCTID

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    I agree but I am not a big fan of the NBA. I follow it so close because thats the only sport our city has but if we did not have the Blazers I would not be able to follow the NBA and its pathetic officiating and the way the sport is run. I need a little incentive to watch random NBA games over baseball (my favorite sport) the last few games of the regular season. I would puke to have to watch the Mariners play tonight. I wish my Cardinals games were shown out here, MLB.tv FTW:pimp:
     
  11. ironcrotch

    ironcrotch Well-Known Member

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    uh oh looks like Boozer hurt his ribs and left the game vs the Warriors
     
  12. BlazerBenner

    BlazerBenner Let them play, Nate.

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    Two Preseason games they dominated us in those, too.
     
  13. BlazerBenner

    BlazerBenner Let them play, Nate.

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    So, if Denver wins tonight, we play Denver if we beat Golden State, which we should. That seems pretty clearcut. (unless we lose to Golden State and San Antonio wins out, then we play Dallas.


    Rooting for Phoenix to win out, so we can play Phoenix!!!!
     
  14. BlazerBenner

    BlazerBenner Let them play, Nate.

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    Anytime I can listen to Doug Collins or Hubie Brown, I'm going to enjoy the game. (Or, Steve Jones, but I won't open that can of worms.)
     
  15. BlazerBenner

    BlazerBenner Let them play, Nate.

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    I'm with you there, but I do enjoy contests where Collins or Hubie Brown are doing the commentary. They are both so accurate and just in their assessments. In August of 2007, I spent a "series" in St. Louis to watch the REDS and Cards. Had one heck of a time. The new Busch was beautiful. (Sorry, but I'm a REDS' fan.)
     
  16. BlazerBenner

    BlazerBenner Let them play, Nate.

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    ****************UPDATED******************

    Game

    ...............SA PHO
    ............./
    UTH PHO
    .............\
    ...............DAL UTH


    Winner -> Seed/Wins


    UTH PHO DAL PHO -> 2.DAL 55-27, 3.PHO 54-28, 4.DEN 53-29, 5.UTH 53-29
    UTH PHO SA PHO -> 2.DAL 54-28, 3.PHO 54-28, 4.DEN 53-29, 5.UTH 53-29
    UTH PHO DAL UTH -> 2.DAL 55-27, 3.UTH 54-28, 4.PHO 53-29, 5.DEN 53-29
    UTH PHO SA UTH -> 2.UTH 54-28, 3.DAL 54-28, 4.PHO 53-29, 5.DEN 53-29
     
  17. BGrantFan

    BGrantFan Suspended

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    I created this chart, which I hope will clear things up for you all.

    EDIT - sorry, but really pay attention to the grays. They tell the story.

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Apr 13, 2010
  18. BlazerBenner

    BlazerBenner Let them play, Nate.

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    ****************UPDATED******************

    Game

    ...............SA PHO
    ............./
    UTH PHO
    .............\
    ...............DAL UTH


    Winner -> Seed/Wins


    UTH PHO DAL PHO -> 2.DAL 55-27, 3.PHO 54-28, 4.DEN 53-29, 5.UTH 53-29
    UTH PHO SA PHO -> 2.DAL 54-28, 3.PHO 54-28, 4.DEN 53-29, 5.UTH 53-29
    UTH PHO DAL UTH -> 2.DAL 55-27, 3.UTH 54-28, 4.PHO 53-29, 5.DEN 53-29
    UTH PHO SA UTH -> 2.UTH 54-28, 3.DAL 54-28, 4.PHO 53-29, 5.DEN 53-29
     
  19. TripTango

    TripTango Quick First Step

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    Actual percentages for these outcomes are of course dependant on the odds for the games themselves, but it's not too hard to calculate if you have those. I couldn't find game probabilities out there on the interwebz, and I'm not sure how to convert betting lines... Considering how evenly matched all the teams involved are, I just gave each home team a 55% likelihood of winning. Probably too conservative for PHX @ UTA, but oh well.

    With this simple input, it's not too hard to get likelihoods for all 8 possible W/L scenarios by multiplying the odds of three given teams winning percentages. Then these can be summed up based on the initial post to get final scenario odds.

    With my simplified percentages, I got:

    Portland vs. Phoenix: 25%
    Portland vs. Utah: 52%
    Portland vs. Dallas: 23%

    The bottom line here is that we really need Phoenix to win if we don't want to get Utah. Almost every scenario involving a Utah win ends up with us facing them in the postseason, which is why this is the most likely outcome.
     
  20. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    I remember last season we had the smallest % of a chance to play the Rockets, hope we do better this year.
     

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