I don't know, you'd have to ask one. I have no connection with East Carolina except for my avatar. I've actually never even been to either North or South Carolina. barfo
I live in the Orlando area. Luckily I have family to the north and south of me, so if shit gets real, I'm taking off. But yeah, canned foods, water, candles and all that are stocked just in case. As far as reading model runs, nahhh. I'm just gonna pm you.
Have you been to Guam? How about Cholon, Vietnam? Do you know where Cholon is? Changes in El Nino have already been attributed to Global Warming. I'm afraid I'm unfamiliar with wind shear but if that's changing then I'd also attribute at least a possibility of it being the result of Global Warmin. Global Warming is beginning to seriously affect our weather.
Everywhere in the United States and Europe. What's weird is that people attribute the severity of hurricane seasons based on the strength of storms that make landfall in the United States. Not based on what happens in the Western or Eastern Pacific, or even in regards to storms that curve out to sea. 2005 was by far the worst hurricane season every due to all factors, and nothing will surpass it. Before last year, the previous couple of years were relatively quiet. El Nino usually means a quieter Atlantic hurricane season. This study says that global warming is increasing El Nino events, which would mean less of a threat to humans since Eastern Pacific cyclones don't usually affect land. It's more complicated than "Higher Avg. Global Temperatures = Higher Atlantic Ocean Temperatures = More Hurricanes Threatening the East Coast". You gotta look at El Ninos, shear, and the affect on steering currents.
The water below doesn't steer a hurricane. It's a complicated mix of upper level dynamics. To put it simply, a ridge of high pressure to the north of the hurricane will make it go West. A trough or front will pick up a hurricane and send it northward and out to sea. A combination of dynamics can influence stalling or even southward movement. Water affects strength. Atmosphere affects strength and track.
So less current flow in the major ocean currents due to less continental run off would result in warmer ocean currents although less total volume in the stream. The warmer waters would produce stronger cyclones. But at the same time less flow will result in less heat transfer from the tropics to the upper latitudes.
I have no idea what you're trying to say. The differences in the "volume" of "continental runoff" into the ocean is negligible and doesn't really matter. "Flow" doesn't affect heat transfer.
And of course less cooling water volume returning in the coriolis swirl to cool the tropical current.
