Forum Game JUST DO IT: Predict upcoming contract for Nurkic

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Mr. Robot, Jun 28, 2022.

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what contract will nurk get

  1. 4/48-52

    6 vote(s)
    9.8%
  2. 4/52-56

    4 vote(s)
    6.6%
  3. 4/56-60

    6 vote(s)
    9.8%
  4. 4/60-64

    9 vote(s)
    14.8%
  5. 4/64-68

    8 vote(s)
    13.1%
  6. 4/68-72

    6 vote(s)
    9.8%
  7. 4/72-76

    9 vote(s)
    14.8%
  8. 4/76-80

    2 vote(s)
    3.3%
  9. 4/80-84

    4 vote(s)
    6.6%
  10. 3/52-56-60

    7 vote(s)
    11.5%
  1. Predator

    Predator The Godfather

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    What I would do: 4/54
    What we will probably do: 4/75
    Anything more than 13.5/14 is stupid.
    Realistically I don’t want to go above about 12.5.
     
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  2. RR7

    RR7 Well-Known Member

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    His 1st year salary is almost guaranteed to be over 14.4 million. We could have extended him last season starting at that number, for 4 more seasons. If he was taking that, it would already have been done, IMO.
     
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  3. SharpesTriumph

    SharpesTriumph Well-Known Member

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    Good point. I wouldn't think its just one or two million over either. So probably at least 17 million if not 20 million starting salary.

    So that gets him to 4/80 ish or more?
     
  4. tykendo

    tykendo Don't Tread On PDX

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    I actually think Nurk is about to break out into the best basketball of his career. He's more mature, and knows what works on the court. I went with 4 / 72 mil.
     
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  5. Fairly-Hard

    Fairly-Hard Former Member Gone New!

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    FTFY

    In this case It's "Finished that for you"
     
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  6. hoopsjock

    hoopsjock Well-Known Member

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    3 years, $48 million
     
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  7. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    if we can get a 3 yr deal in place for nurk, that is a massive win for Joe.
     
  8. Mr. Robot

    Mr. Robot Well-Known Member

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    i think nurk will announce his new contract once free agency opens

    it will be #nurkbomb, not #wojbomb
     
  9. BankTeller

    BankTeller Well-Known Member

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    Four years is too long for Nurk imo. I would be fine with paying 3 years/$50m if there was a TO in year 3.
     
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  10. Mr. Robot

    Mr. Robot Well-Known Member

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    no player in his prime will take 3 year contract with 3rd year being team option, second contract is usually the most lucrative one

    even 3 year contract with all years being fully guaranteed isnt something players in their prime accept, unless they have no better offers

    be sure nurk will get big payday, otherwise he wouldnt accept to get shut down in a contract season right in the moment when he was playing best ball of his career
     
  11. blazerfan11

    blazerfan11 Well-Known Member

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    Zubac got 3 years, $33 million.
     
  12. MickZagger

    MickZagger Well-Known Member

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    So when it comes to trade value of our players we always over-value what we should get for them according to a lot around here. But, when it comes to free agency we always under-value what we should pay them.

    Hmm interesting
     
    Last edited: Jun 28, 2022
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  13. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    if Nurkic averaged 70-75 games/year he'd be worth 14-17M/yr. But, he's averaged 51 games/year
     
  14. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    this seems arbitrary. is this based on any metric?
     
  15. MickZagger

    MickZagger Well-Known Member

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    The Nurk we saw after the AS break but before he was shut down by the team was some the best ball I’d seen him play.

    With that guy though I’m always fearful of a serious injury after i watched his leg snap in half that one time
     
  16. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    it's guessing what salary a player is worth so of course it's arbitrary. The metric I'm using is that players who consistently miss lots of games, year after year, are worth less than players who don't

    here's another arbitrary nugget: Blazers are 3-13 in the playoffs with Nurkic starting. Blazers are 8-8 with Kanter starting
     
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  17. blazerfan11

    blazerfan11 Well-Known Member

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    Do you think that is a coincidence or is there something behind Nurkic not winning in the playoffs?
     
  18. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    this can be done in a quantitative way instead of randomly pulling a number out of thin air like you did. Maybe we compare his VORP and win shares with other centers and see how he fares... Maybe that's what the team does
     
  19. noknobs

    noknobs Well-Known Member

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    He's a double-double center who can pass, defend, is 28 and had the 33rd best PER last year in the NBA (for those qualifying). Those not wanting to go over 12/13 per year are deluding themselves. It's not 2016 anymore when you can sign LeBron James for 100m over 3 years, making him the only one over 30m that year. Next year there will be 40 players (and counting) making over 30m. I mean there's already a contract in existence that will result in a player getting 60m/yr by the end of it.

    No matter what happens, just remember that Westbrook has a player option for 47 million... things could be worse.
     
  20. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    he's been matched up against AD and Jokic. Overmatched
     
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