Trade Larry Nance Jr traded to Portland

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by illmatic99, Aug 27, 2021.

  1. andalusian

    andalusian Season - Restarted

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    I think it is hard to do that analysis in isolation - and the number of shots is less important imho to judge the effectiveness, it is the opponent's 3P% vs. the league average 3P% for that year (or opponent 3P% ranking within the league).

    If you look at the years the Blazers had a heathy roster (for most of the year, at least) and good defenders around Dame/CJ, the Blazer's 3P% defense (Opponent 3P%) is close to the league average 3P%. The years the team had injuries / lack of good defenders - it was awful. They Blazers were 21st in the league last year and 29th a year before (ranking), but 2018-2019, for example, the year the team had ET, RH, Aminu, Harkless and for most of the year Nurk - they were #16 in the league (which is just the median, but is not awful). So, I still think that this is more a case of roster and health than scheme. I am not saying that the league does not change and schemes need to adjust with it, I am saying is that there is a clear correlation between roster/health and the quality of the defense under TS.
     
    Last edited: Aug 30, 2021
  2. BBert

    BBert Weasels Ripped My Flesh

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    Not to mention he would most likely have more in the tank to enable him to play some defense.

    :cheers:
     
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  3. andalusian

    andalusian Season - Restarted

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    Because imho they are different. One of them is adjusting to personal on a specific matchup and the other is philosophy and scheme. I have said that I can not, and do no think I am qualified to judge adjustments (and frankly, I suspect that unless you are in that team knowing all the factors that went into a decision - it is hard to make the judgement because each one of them is so specific to the situation at hand). What I can do is look at long-term trends and correlate them to roster/health - there is no bias there - we know when the roster was healthy or not, we know when a team has a roster of long, athletic guys that have done well defensively over their career. That's what I mean when I say there is no bias - these are clear things we can track.

    Now, maybe it is all these years of working with data scientists - when trying to assess something very fundamental like coaching "defense"- I just try to "smooth" spikes with long term data. Your claim of being bad at adjustments might be 100% right and might be 100% wrong (I suspect it is more likely to be something like 70/30 - but I have no way of measuring it).
     
  4. Idog1976

    Idog1976 Well-Known Member

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    He probably doesn't care to comment on every article about him there were dozens and dozens. Toronto has a major nightlife so that doesn't pass the smell test plus he could party with Drake. Ridiculous that if an athlete doesn't deny a specific piece of trash journalism it becomes gospel? Get outta here.
     
  5. Idog1976

    Idog1976 Well-Known Member

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    OK i respect your right yo have an opinion I think is wrong. That said, Im gonna go with top tier scouts, All-NBA voting, All-NBA defensive team voting and Finishing second in DPOY voting by experts, rather than whatever character based reasons you have. Plus you cite the Hawks series a few posts below.
     
    Last edited: Aug 30, 2021
  6. Idog1976

    Idog1976 Well-Known Member

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    Noob posters? lol. My account is two years older than yours, but I'm done here. If Nurk and Simmons cant play together you trade Nurk. We need a second star and Nurk has the same limitations almost to a T as Simmons so funny you’d cite the inferior talent as a reason not to make the trade.
     
    Last edited: Aug 30, 2021
  7. blazerkor

    blazerkor Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, Simmons is the much better talent when compared to Nurk, so if Simmons and Nurk don't work together then you ship Nurk off to the highest bidder. Ideally, I would get a third team involved like you were saying with the Celtics but a team interested in Nurk and get pieces to sweeten the CJ deal to get Simmons.

    Dame, Norm, RoCo, Nance and Simmons is a championship level starting lineup and with Nas, Snell and Zeller coming off the bench we might have the best defense in the league.
     
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  8. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    You can have the media on your side. I'll go with all the NBA GMs that won't trade for him.
     
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  9. dviss1

    dviss1 Emcee Referee

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    Not gonna go back and forth over something you still don't know nor care to find out. I've given my reasons and you don't even know what they are.

    So yeah... We're done.
     
  10. dviss1

    dviss1 Emcee Referee

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    So you been around that long but just lurking and watching what everyone else is posting...?

    Weird...
     
  11. Idog1976

    Idog1976 Well-Known Member

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    Nope. I left ages ago to Blazers edge for awhile (fail on my part) and have returned after a long absence, but definitely not a noob. Thanks for the insult though and if you don't care to explain it like everyone else does, i certainly don't care to dive through threads for one dudes opinion which i can pretty much guarantee I disagree with anyways. Gonna go with experts at the NBA level rather than waste precious time to hunt down someone’s opinion. Perhaps if you laid it out, or weren’t well, like you’re being about it, Id have more interest. Unless you have dyed in the wool proven insider info it’s...
     

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  12. dviss1

    dviss1 Emcee Referee

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    I don't need to explain it to you. I've already done it in the correct thread. This is not the Ben Simmons Thread.

    You are the one who doesn't need to assume why. Figure that out.
     
  13. Idog1976

    Idog1976 Well-Known Member

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    I think you are misunderstanding. I don't care what your reasons are unless they are based upon something Insider related. I will take the experts over you all day, every day. It’s not on me to look it up because it would be a waste of my time.
     
  14. dviss1

    dviss1 Emcee Referee

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    It was understood that you didn't care what my reasoning is once you made it up... :dunno:
     
  15. Idog1976

    Idog1976 Well-Known Member

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    Oh is that your concern? I apologize for misrepresenting your position which could be anything really since you wont reveal it. There you feel better?

    You say its not appropriate to list your reasons here, and say we shouldn’t be talking about Ben Simmons in this thread, when actually YOU brought him up in the negative and I responded with my well founded position which I am able to articulate as often as needed. You got your apology since you needed that for some reason. Good day.
     
  16. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    Typical Blazers Edge style way of arguing. You value Simmons more than any other GM outside of Daryl Morey but sit here with "The experts say I'm right! :smiley-smirk:". Weakest argument tactic there is.
     
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  17. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

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    For fucks sake.
     
  18. Fairly-Hard

    Fairly-Hard Former Member Gone New!

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    It is "Well Founded" by the experts. (Or at least those considered experts)
    Just maybe not by people who actually think about things more than clicks and views?
    Simmons would be a solid pickup but he isn't the end all and he might not even be worth CJ in my opinion.
    I am a bit turned off by his attitude as well.
    I'm no expert though.
     
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  19. dviss1

    dviss1 Emcee Referee

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    Forget Ben Simmons accolades for just a moment.

    Which GM is clamoring for his services? Who's been linked to wanting to trade for him?

    His own GM has certainly been hilariously connected to wanting everything the sun touches plus 4 firsts...

    Then we've heard talk about the same GM being rebuffed for those outlandish offers...

    Who are the experts that are looking to add Simmons to their team?
     
  20. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    been gone for 10 days camping. No internet, thankfully. Haven't read the thread but I imagine people have mentioned how Portland made a trade that many have talked about. That's good and the trade very likely improves the Blazers. I don't believe Jones would have contributed that much. Nance isn't good at the three-ball, but he's better than Jones, or Turner or Hezonja. Yeah, faint praise, but at least the Blazers added a PF. One worry is that Nance has missed at least 15 games every season.

    one big plus is that with Jordan Kent gone, we won't have to hear "Larry Nance JUNIOR" 15 times a game

    the one thing I hate is the loopy protections on the draft pick. That just monkey-wrenches trade flexibility for a year. Making it unprotected would be better than putting a straight-jacket on draft picks for 7 years
     
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