Lillard's invisible performance

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Binx, Apr 26, 2016.

  1. oldmangrouch

    oldmangrouch persona non grata

    Joined:
    Sep 22, 2008
    Messages:
    12,402
    Likes Received:
    6,323
    Trophy Points:
    113
    :blush::cheers:
     
  2. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2008
    Messages:
    92,774
    Likes Received:
    55,412
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Portland, OR
    Come on OMG, we compare our players to other players ALL. THE. TIME.

    If the whole point of the thread is to say that Dame is not producing, then I like to compare his production with other players of similar talent. It sets a baseline. And quite frankly, who gives a shit if some people care or don't care? It was a musing about people that like to complain about Lillard. The grass is always greener, etc etc etc.
     
    Orion Bailey likes this.
  3. Strenuus

    Strenuus Global Moderator Staff Member Global Moderator

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2013
    Messages:
    50,077
    Likes Received:
    35,346
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I know a certain poster who loved Lowry over Lillard... then I showed him stats about Lowry and he never responded. lol.
     
  4. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2008
    Messages:
    92,774
    Likes Received:
    55,412
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Portland, OR
    Yup. And that particular poster was on my mind when I mentioned Lowry.... and then for some reason another poster decided that I was slighting him :dunno:
     
  5. H.C.

    H.C. Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2013
    Messages:
    8,445
    Likes Received:
    8,728
    Trophy Points:
    113
    41%, 10%, 41%, 53%
    Not bad just saying.
    Actually I thought my post helped you because I included turnovers for you.
    One could make the argument that all those turnovers were because of Beverly bothering Lillard.
    But all in all if shooting % is the only thing you go by I refer you to a previous post.
    What does it look like when Lillard has a bad game? 1-10 is pretty bad, but 40%+ shooting isn't really "giving a player trouble.
    44% from the field if you take out the 1-10, which I would I mean... Every player has an off night. Says more about Lillard struggling in a single game than Beverly shutting him down if you look at the whole of regular season games that year.

    http://espn.go.com/nba/statistics/player/_/stat/field-goals/sort/fieldGoalPct/position/point-guards
    CP3 however is holding Lillard to 36% shooting over 4 games. That to me is what it looks like when a player stops another player.
    Having a good defensive game or two over 2-3 years isn't.

    If you choose to post again talk about basketball.
    Stop with the unnecessary stuff.
    Otherwise I will end the discussion.
    That's all I'm going to say on that.
     
    Last edited: Apr 27, 2016
  6. blazerboy30

    blazerboy30 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    5,465
    Likes Received:
    423
    Trophy Points:
    83
    Agreed.

    I see this thread as 1) Lillard sucks and is invisible!!! and 2) Lillard has made more bad decisions and taken more ill-advised shots than normal.

    Pretty much everyone has disagreed with 1), including myself. It's ridiculous.

    2) I think is a valid criticism and has nothing to do with how badly Lowry or anybody else is playing.
     
  7. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2008
    Messages:
    92,774
    Likes Received:
    55,412
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Portland, OR
    So why is it so crazy to think that maybe I was responding to the first point and not so much the second point? Did I say that your criticism was invalid? Did I say anything about your criticism at all? The world doesn't revolve around you brah.

     
    Orion Bailey likes this.
  8. blazerboy30

    blazerboy30 Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    5,465
    Likes Received:
    423
    Trophy Points:
    83
    You posting Lowry's shooting percentage is much more related to Lillard's bad shot selection than Lillard being invisible. If you don't see that, then I refer you to my earlier quote: "If you don't know who is the sucker in the group...it's you".
     
  9. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2008
    Messages:
    34,276
    Likes Received:
    43,615
    Trophy Points:
    113
    In fairness, you said "anyone complaining about Lillard". I could see how one could think that applied to both critic #1 and critic #2.
     
  10. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2008
    Messages:
    92,774
    Likes Received:
    55,412
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Portland, OR
    Shooting percentages don't necessarily have anything to do with shot selection. How many of Dame's shots are bad shots? He missed a few wide open layups the other night. Are those bad shots? Was that a bad shot selection? Correlation is not causation. You assumed that one was related to the other, and I was merely pointing out that if you're unhappy with Lillard, there are other star point guards who are struggling worse. Maybe you don't find comfort in that, maybe you do, I really don't care.

    For me, personally, it makes me feel better when I look at Lowry or Thomas and see a guy playing worse than Dame against a much less difficult defense. It tells me that Dame is doing pretty well, all things considered. My post was pretty benign, but you decided to take it as an attack on your point. I guess that's your prerogative.
     
    Orion Bailey likes this.
  11. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

    Joined:
    Jan 27, 2015
    Messages:
    26,285
    Likes Received:
    21,507
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Nate, I got ya 100%. Not sure why others didnt get the comparison as a way to feel better about Lillard. Nothing more, nothing less. Some people like to eat apart every little word and blow it up out of context or make it literal. It happens to me all the time. Stren called me out because I said we owned the Clippers. Wrong choice of words, but is it really the subject of debate?

    Some people are focusing on the fact that you chose a non Blazer to pay attention to. Had nothing to do with that other than to feel better overall about Lillard's game.

    Comparison's are a part of life. Its the best way to truly assess how good one is. We are human. No one is going to go 100% most of the time or even part of the time. So to compare Lillard with other players of the same position is perfectly fine and basically the best way to see how well Lillard is ACTUALLY playing.
     
  12. H.C.

    H.C. Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2013
    Messages:
    8,445
    Likes Received:
    8,728
    Trophy Points:
    113
    I actually thought this was a perfect comparison.
    If anyone has watched Geko's vs Pacers series it's clearly obvious how horrible Lowry is playing.
    He's hurting his team with not only shot selection but turnovers at bad times, bad shot attempts that lead to layups for the Pacers. Ball stopping when there is another player who is hot. Three or four times when DeRozan was going Lowry kept the ball for the whole possession leading to him bricking it in game 5.
    Lowry isn't even getting trapped on the pick and roll in this series. George Hill is just taking it to him, and he has no elite rim defender backing him up.
    Shows exactly how much worse a player can play in the playoffs. Lillard needs to play better, but he certainly could play much worse.
     
    Orion Bailey likes this.
  13. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

    Joined:
    Sep 17, 2008
    Messages:
    92,774
    Likes Received:
    55,412
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Portland, OR
    Did you see Isaiah Thomas last night? Holy crap he was playing like total garbage.
     
  14. H.C.

    H.C. Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2013
    Messages:
    8,445
    Likes Received:
    8,728
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Unfortunately I had a class so I didn't get a chance to watch most of that game. I have seen his other games though. Smart has been saving them.
     
    Last edited: Apr 27, 2016
  15. handiman

    handiman Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 15, 2008
    Messages:
    5,881
    Likes Received:
    3,916
    Trophy Points:
    113
    That's a bunch of confusing cause & effect stats, to be sure, but I'd call a couple of 7-17 games pretty effective defense on one of the best scoring PGs in the league.

    You can't discount the 1-10 as an off-night without throwing out the one good shooting night against Beverly, also. Do you always cherry pick favorable stats like this? It's either 39% (all 4 games) or 41% (removing the two outliers) by any reasonable standard of analysis, both of which are indicative of pretty good defense.

    And 36% is significantly different from 38.5%?

    You keep harping on the last two years as somehow indicative of the defender Beverly was prior to the injury leading into the Houston series. That makes no sense.

    Say what? I called your rather feeble bluff, but we weren't talking about anything other than basketball. Go Blazers.
     
  16. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2008
    Messages:
    34,276
    Likes Received:
    43,615
    Trophy Points:
    113
    21.5 points on 17 fga equates to 1.27 points per shot. In 2013-14, Lillard averaged 20.9 ppg on 15.9 shots, or 1.30 ppg. So Beverly's "pretty effective defense" held Lillard to...basically his season average.

    Not.
    Swayed.
     
    H.C. likes this.
  17. H.C.

    H.C. Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Nov 25, 2013
    Messages:
    8,445
    Likes Received:
    8,728
    Trophy Points:
    113
    It's not confusing at all.
    It just disproves your point so you're trying to omit stats.
    Where I have brought up everything, even shooting % & turnovers.

    You keep saying I'm cherry picking stats.
    When you want to talk about one season only before Beverly's devastating Meniscus injury in 2014..
    Which really only shows one game where he forced Lillard below his averages.
    I would also point out to you that Beverly after his Meniscus injury, had a better defensive season in 2015. Than he did in 2014 according to the stats.
    (which is what this whole thing is about... stats)
    If you want to take out the good game fine. Lillard then shoots still over 40% vs Beverly in the 2014 regular season.
    Not counting the playoff series that you wish to leave out.
    Not counting any other season, that once again... You wish to leave out.
    http://www.basketball-reference.com...everpa01&y2=2009&p2=gibsoda01&p3=&p4=&p5=&p6=
    I think this says everything anyone needs to know about how good of a defender Beverly is.
    As well as how much better the Rockets could do at their starting PG position.

    I have no feeble bluff, and I'm not cherry picking.
    The stats clearly show Beverly is far from a good defender..
    It shows over the course of 3 seasons how ineffective he's been at guarding Lillard outside of two games.
    Harping on two games and saying someone is cherry picking. Entertaining.
    I can't believe because of two games you're trying to say Beverly is on par with Conley or Paul in terms of defending Lillard...
    But I'm not going to get into that.

    There is no reason to continue this. You're clearly ignoring things to make your point seem more valid.. And you didn't try to bring up turnovers....
    Then adding additional descriptive words that are unnecessary.
    The ignore list grows. 2x different threads, same stuff.

    Have a nice day.
     
  18. Fez Hammersticks

    Fez Hammersticks スーパーバッド Zero Cool

    Joined:
    Sep 23, 2008
    Messages:
    28,941
    Likes Received:
    9,597
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Phone Psychic
    Location:
    The Deep State, US and A.
    Bump.

    The way he is playing he ought to lose his signature shoe.

    He has no business having his own shoe.
     
  19. Fez Hammersticks

    Fez Hammersticks スーパーバッド Zero Cool

    Joined:
    Sep 23, 2008
    Messages:
    28,941
    Likes Received:
    9,597
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Phone Psychic
    Location:
    The Deep State, US and A.
    Outside his game winner against Houston he has been very underwhelming to say the least. This is the franchise player and how far this team goes is ALL on his shoulders.

    He's on a steady decline:

    PER: 19.3 | 15.0 | 13.5

    TS%: 58% | 49.1% | 49.0%

    3P%: 39% | 16% | 26%

    FG: 44% | 40% | 36%

    DBPM: 0.9 | -0.2 | -0.5

    WS: 1.3 | 0.2 | 0.1


    All of his numbers have dropped as his USG% went up.
     
  20. maxiep

    maxiep RIP Dr. Jack

    Joined:
    Sep 12, 2008
    Messages:
    28,291
    Likes Received:
    5,854
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Merchant Banker
    Location:
    Denver, CO & Lake Oswego, OR
    Yeah, it's not like Doc Rivers' entire strategy is to make someone other than Lillard beat them.
     

Share This Page