Close, mags. The 35% (you took 1-.65) is the probability of the Nets getting 1st, 2nd, or 3rd. Te probability of them getting 4th, 5th, or 6th then is jusst 1-the previous value (or 65%). The guy made it even better by color coding the probability of getting each of those picks. ~10% is the prob of them getting 4th if they have the 4th worst record. Actually, if they do have the 4th worst record, they have more of a chance of getting the 5th pick than anything else (35%). Here is another resource to bookmark:
Thanks! Yeah regardless, I suspect we are getting the #5 pick. They can't catch up to #2 and #1 worse. I just don't see it. I see them being #3 worst at best!
I just played four times, got a 4 and 10, then lost the NJ pick the next two times with both of our picks at 10 again. then hit it big! Our pick at 3 and NJ at 5!
