Official New Jersey Nets #1 pick Status Thread..........

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by THE HCP, Mar 15, 2012.

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  1. Charcoal Filtered

    Charcoal Filtered Writing Team

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    LA is supposedly going to rest everyone.
     
    Charcoal Filtered, Apr 26, 2012
    #461
  2. Darkwebs

    Darkwebs Awakened to emptiness Staff Member Moderator

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    The Kings have a 9 point lead, but it's only the 2nd quarter. Should we root for a Kings win or loss?
    If they win, they'll tie the Nets for 5th.
     
    Darkwebs, Apr 26, 2012
    #462
  3. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    doesn't shift things a huge amount if sac wins. would mean like 74.6% chance of keeping the pick instead of 78.5.
     
    crowTrobot, Apr 26, 2012
    #463
  4. Charcoal Filtered

    Charcoal Filtered Writing Team

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    I am rooting for Sacramento to win.

    It gives us a chance at the #5 and only gives NJ a 3% additional chance of hitting the 1-3.
     
    Charcoal Filtered, Apr 26, 2012
    #464
  5. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    doesn't make a huge difference. reduces odds of keeping the pick slightly while adding a longshot chance at the 5th pick.

    would be (very roughly pending the flip)

    5th 13%
    6th 40%
    7th 19.4%
    8th 2.2%
     
    crowTrobot, Apr 26, 2012
    #465
  6. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    looks like it adds 4% additional chance if we win the flip, 3.7ish if we lose
     
    crowTrobot, Apr 26, 2012
    #466
  7. Charcoal Filtered

    Charcoal Filtered Writing Team

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    Turning on the GS/SA game. Patty Mills is leading the Spurs in scoring. If Golden St wins, they are #8 and will probably lose thier pick to Utah. If they lose, they are tied with Toronto and will be praying they win a coin flip.
     
    Charcoal Filtered, Apr 26, 2012
    #467
  8. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    lol noticed NJ and Sac tied for 5/6 last year too. should have seen this coming : )
     
    crowTrobot, Apr 26, 2012
    #468
  9. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    Just showed Bourne and Buchanan your numbers..... They were impressed! But The HCP is still confused!
     
    THE HCP, Apr 26, 2012
    #469
  10. BLAZINGGIANTS

    BLAZINGGIANTS Well-Known Member

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    Not surprised. You guys know nothing but cutting grass and pulling weeds.
     
    BLAZINGGIANTS, Apr 26, 2012
    #470
  11. BLAZINGGIANTS

    BLAZINGGIANTS Well-Known Member

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    Speaking of which... It's offseason. When will you be dropping by? My yard needs work!!
     
    BLAZINGGIANTS, Apr 26, 2012
    #471
  12. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    meh, nothing too insightful. those percentages are just an average of what the odds would be for either winning or losing the flip for 5/6 as taken from last year's chart - where the exact same thing happened (NJ/Sac tied for 5/6).

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2011_NBA_Draft
     
    crowTrobot, Apr 26, 2012
    #472
  13. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    e_blazer, Apr 26, 2012
    #473
  14. crowTrobot

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    if 12, 13, & 14 win the lottery at that point you figure the lottery is fixed : )
     
    crowTrobot, Apr 26, 2012
    #474
  15. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    Kings are seriously gonna be good next year.
     
    illmatic99, Apr 26, 2012
    #475
  16. Boise Blazer

    Boise Blazer Thread Lightly

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    Geez, if the NJ pick is between picks 5 or 6 that is pretty damned big drop off from say (5) Drummond to (6) Barnes for example.
     
    Boise Blazer, Apr 27, 2012
    #476
  17. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    obviously we want NJ to win the flip, but even if they do we would still only have a 26% chance at the 5th pick. so it really isn't "between" 5 and 6 at this point.

    you could say the flip is between a possible 5/6/7 for the winner and a possible 6/7/8 for the loser.
     
    crowTrobot, Apr 27, 2012
    #477
  18. Boise Blazer

    Boise Blazer Thread Lightly

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    Good point. Thanks for pointing that out.
     
    Boise Blazer, Apr 27, 2012
    #478
  19. BLAZINGGIANTS

    BLAZINGGIANTS Well-Known Member

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    Basically, I'm not as excited about this pick as I was. I'd have rather ended up 4th/5th with the risk we'd lose the pick, and have to wait until next year. I'm not sold on anyone after the Top-5. Don't get me wrong, I'm sure several players taken after the Top-5 will be solid, but I just don't have faith in our talent evaluators to find one of those guys.
     
    BLAZINGGIANTS, Apr 27, 2012
    #479
  20. Charcoal Filtered

    Charcoal Filtered Writing Team

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    Hearing that the Cavs and Warriors won their coin flips. Should hear soon about the Blazers.
     
    Charcoal Filtered, Apr 27, 2012
    #480
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