Official New Jersey Nets #1 pick Status Thread..........

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by THE HCP, Mar 15, 2012.

  1. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    I dont know what's more sad.... The outcome do this game or the fact that The HCP just set his DVR to record it!!
     
  2. 3RA1N1AC

    3RA1N1AC 00110110 00111001

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    is the 30th possible? did you just answer your own question?
     
  3. Darkwebs

    Darkwebs Awakened to emptiness Staff Member Moderator

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    But aren't your ignoring the fact that if they finish at #3, they could possibly move up to 1 or 2 as well.
     
  4. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    Rooting for the 'Cats tonight.
     
  5. 3RA1N1AC

    3RA1N1AC 00110110 00111001

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    if they finish at #3, they have the greatest chance statistically to land at #5 in the draft, then #4

    overall they would have a 46.9 % chance to stay in the top 3
     
  6. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    Fuck statistically, I'd like to know David Sternistically if they finish at #3.
     
    Natebishop3 likes this.
  7. 3RA1N1AC

    3RA1N1AC 00110110 00111001

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    sternistically, they are a lock for #1
     
  8. handiman

    handiman Well-Known Member

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    No, not ignoring it, just saying it's very likely that they get bumped out of the top-3. In other words, don't fret it one way or the other until we see what becomes of the ping pong balls.
     
  9. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

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    LOL Sternistically.... repd
     
  10. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    wiz and hornets lose NJ wins.

    great day for keeping them out of the top 3. only trouble is NJ is also just 2.5 games from jumping to 8th worst now. would be funny if we ended up with consecutive picks 8-9.
     
  11. Rastapopoulos

    Rastapopoulos Well-Known Member

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    No. NOT funny.
     
  12. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    funny meaning pathetic.
     
  13. Nikolokolus

    Nikolokolus There's always next year

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    Mags said the "worst pick" ... I wanted to see his math. :wink:
     
  14. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    I was wrong earlier when I said I was rooting for Charlotte. Glad the Nets won! Move further from that #3 spot!
     
  15. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Actually, we want them to lose the rest of their games and then lose the lotto. That is the best case scenario. Means we get the number 4 pick. Be awful and lose the lotto. If they're not awful and teams below them win one of the top three spots, ourpick becomes even worse. Root for the Nets to lose every game they play.
     
  16. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    No, you don't understand. we WANT NJ in the top 3. And then LOSE the LOTTO. That is how we get a great pick.
     
  17. Fez Hammersticks

    Fez Hammersticks スーパーバッド Zero Cool

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    Gerald looks so mediocre in NJ.

    He's not the same player as he was in Charlotte.

    Now he's primarily a below the rim player. He's also in a contract year so it's really odd -- is he really declining this quickly?
     
  18. magnifier661

    magnifier661 B-A-N-A-N-A-S!

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    Wait what are you talking about? Maybe I was referring to nj getting the worst possible pick because of karma from tanking. Mathematically they would have the best shot at getting a top three, but history shows that most the time, teams with the worst possible record hardly wins the best possible pick.
     
  19. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    Sternistically that is impossible.
     
  20. crowTrobot

    crowTrobot die comcast

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    i understand perfectly. that would be ideal, but obviously it comes at a significantly greater risk of having the pick bumped to next year - which i personally don't want even if the odds are good it will still end up being a high lotto pick, which isn't necessarily a given. i want developing talent around LMA ASAP.

    also BEST case odds at getting the #4 pick only get up to 32% even if they lose all their games and fall to 2nd. #4 is a little bit of a pipe dream IMO. i think realistically we should be hoping for 5/6 - and them finishing 2nd, 3rd, or 4th doesn't increase the odds at 5/6

    taking all that into consideration i think the ideal position for them to finish is 5th worst. that would mean a 74% chance at 5-7 weighted for 5/6.

    for comparison them losing every game and finishing 2nd worst only means a 44% chance at 4-5.
     

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