Rank West Team by title chance next 5 years

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by WesleyMatthews, Sep 24, 2020.

  1. WesleyMatthews

    WesleyMatthews Well-Known Member

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    Excluding the current bubble, who has the best chance of winning a title.

    My rankings;

    1 Lakers
    2 Warriors
    3 Clippers
    4 Nuggets
    5 Mavs

    6 Thunder
    7 Blazers
    8 Suns
    9 Rockets
    10 Jazz
    11 Pelicans
    12 Spurs
    13 Grizzlies
    14 Kings
    15 TWolves

    I thought there was a top5 all clearly above the Blazers then teams 6-13 all have arguments for and against.
     
  2. tester551

    tester551 Well-Known Member

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    Agreed. There's a clear top 5.
    All the other teams 6-15 basically have no chance without a major change in course.
     
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  3. Buffalo Custard

    Buffalo Custard Active Member

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    Thunder and Rockettes strike me as wild cards as both are looking at major changes.

    Warriors
    Flakers
    Denver
    Dallas
    Clips
    Suns
    Jazz
    Griz
    Thunder*
    Rockets*
    Pelicans
    Blazers
    Spurs
    Kings
    TWolves
     
  4. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

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    I'm sold on Doncic but I'm not sold on his supporting cast, so I'm not sure I'd include the Mavs in that top group yet

    I'd also, maybe, slide Utah higher up next to Portland, although they seem to have worse injury luck than the Blazers
     
  5. Mediocre Man

    Mediocre Man Mr. SportsTwo

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    Warriors
    Lakers
    Clippers
    Nuggets
    Jazz
    Dallas
    NO
    Phoenix
    Memphis
    Houston
    Portland
    SA
    OKC
    Minnesota
    Sacramento
     
  6. Hoopguru

    Hoopguru Know where you are going or end up somewhere else!

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    Warriors
    Clippers
    Nuggets
    Lakers
    Dallas
    Blazers
    Phoenix
    Jazz
    NO
    Houston
    OKC
    Memphis
    SA
    Sac
    Minn
     
  7. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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    1. Blazers
    2-15. F' everyone else
     
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  8. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    My rankings;

    1 Lakers
    2 Clippers
    3 Warriors
    4 Nuggets
    5 Blazers

    6 Mavs
    7 Jazz
    8 Suns
    9 Rockets
    10 Thunder
    11 Pelicans
    12 Spurs
    13 Grizzlies
    14 Kings
    15 TWolves
     
  9. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    The Pels have a big future - they have a lot of picks...
     
    Last edited: Sep 24, 2020
  10. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    I wonder if someone can find the one we did 2-3 years ago. As I recall it did not work out the way we thought.
    Injuries, bad picks, and stupid trades all were factors. Denver was still up there, but so were the Wolves, Thunder, Jazz and maybe even the Kings.
     
  11. blazerkor

    blazerkor Well-Known Member

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    I just think 5 years is a long time to predict team level competitiveness. So I don't have much of an opinion. I think Denver and Dallas have the best shot in year 4 and 5 or maybe even before. It's just that in the NBA one or two players can come along that are either not drafted right now or are too early in their development to know about and literally transform a franchise, especially when we are projecting more than a year or two out. That's not even mentioning lopsided trades or free agent signings that shift power dramatically. Three years ago before LeBron signed with the Lakers it would have been laughable to put them on this list and before they got AD this last off season it still would have been ill advised to consider them one of the top favorites. It's just very hard to predict and then you factor in the uncertainty of the league's future. What will the new CBA look like? Will there be amnesties? Might the NBA lose a season making it even less likely that a LeBron led team would be a factor for more than a couple more seasons? A lot of additional question marks on something that is usually so highly speculative.

    I will say that whether the Lakers win this championship or not (I think they are definitely going to), they will be the prohibitive favorites next season, having the opportunity to once again sign some new ring chasers and use the MLE on someone even better. I say that with full awareness of the inevitable re-emergence of the Warriors and emergence of the Nets (I know that's the Eastern Conference but this is about championships).
     
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  12. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    The only answer worth entertaining.
     
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  13. BoomChakaLaka

    BoomChakaLaka Well-Known Member

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    Not including this season: Top five teams with a chance to win a title over next 5 seasons:

    Trailblazers
    Lakers
    Nuggets
    Suns
    Pelicans
     
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  14. WesleyMatthews

    WesleyMatthews Well-Known Member

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    Think of it this way, you get $100 for a team that wins a title in the next 5 years. What order would you select west teams?

    Yes some teams will peak in year 5 like the Mavs or maybe Thunder. Others peak now but have mortgaged away picks in 5 years like the Lakers&Clippers.

    Yes there are tons of unknowns that will impact this, thats why its a projection.

    Another way of thinking of it, what roster&picks&mgmt would you trade with the Blazers to increase odds of a title? I would say Lakers/Clippers/Warriors/Nuggets/Mavs are all clearly superior.
     
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  15. blazerkor

    blazerkor Well-Known Member

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    Lakers now and the next two years
    Warriors will be contenders when/if healthy
    Nuggets already and even more so with experience/development
    Mavs are a year away from being the Nuggets or maybe even better
    Pelicans have so much young talent and so many picks and they could cash Holiday in for more picks and young talent so for them years 3-5
    Blazers because I am a kool-aid drinking homer

    I know it was a five team exercise but I had to add that sixth team. I left the other LA team off because I just don't think the Clippers have the mix right and I don't know if they will find it. All of these teams may be impeded in their chances for championships by the rise of the Nets they have the right mix of youth and current star power to get on a serious roll.
     
  16. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    Too many changes from year to year to really take too much stock in predictions like these. I'd definitely agree that right now the Blazers look to be stuck in mediocrity. Maybe Olshey will pull off some magic. Hope springs eternal.
     
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  17. Cugel

    Cugel Well-Known Member

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    Tier 1

    Lakers, Warriors, Clippers, Denver, Houston (?), Dallas (?)

    Tier 2

    Utah, Phoenix, Pels, Grizz, Portland, Spurs, Minnesota

    Tier 3

    Sacramento, OKC,
     
  18. KSF-ERIC

    KSF-ERIC Well-Known Member

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    I don’t know about Clippers. Kawhi & PG can leave for nothing next year. I agree with the other teams. Put Blazers in top 5 cuz of Dame.
     
  19. PHXBlazer1

    PHXBlazer1 Well-Known Member

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    Blazers
    Suns
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    Jazz
    Nuggets
     
  20. kjironman1

    kjironman1 Not a Good Dude!

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    In this league anything longer than a year or two is absolutely impossible to say.
    This year it looks like Lakers or Miami. After that you could choose any of the top 10-12 teams for next year.
    Just too many variables after 2021 and into 2022.
     

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