If he plays well we'll make sure to open up the Full MLE. I highly doubt he'll make more than $9M a year next year, even if he plays well.
Someone will have a better or more precise answer, but I think you have to be under the Lux tax cap the amount of the MLE to use it. Otherwise, you are stuck with the Lux MLE. I don't think you can use the MLE to go over the Lux Tax line. Someone please verify.
all of this might be innacurate: Layman's QO is 1.9M and his cap-hold is 2.9M. I think it's his cap-hold that counts against Portland's cap, but I might have that wrong. If it is his cap-hold, Portland would have 128.6M in charges against their cap for 11 players. That would require a roster charge of about 900K, putting Portland at 130.5M with the tax line projected to be around 132M. So, only 1-2M below the tax if the Blazers keep their 1st round pick, they'd drop the roster charge but add about a million in salary over and above the roster charge; so they might be right at the tax line with only 12 players. Aminu's cap-hold is 13.2M; Seth's is 3.4M. Blazers would have to renounce both players and still clear another 9-10M in room under the tax line to offer a full MLE somebody help me on this one: would Layman's cap-hold immediately jump to the 1st year salary of an offer sheet he signed? or would it stay at the cap-hold until either Portland matched or renounced? Seems like that rule might have been changed in the last CBA the big question is will the Vulcans sign off on going over the tax line next season? If they don't, Olshey will be scrambling hard, especially if Layman sustains his production and gets a good offer
Here is my prediction, and it could very well be wrong.... But I suspect they'll find it easier to peddle off one of Turner/Hark/Meyers during the draft. By that point, teams will have a better idea of their direction going into next year, and there will be teams with capspace that aren't going to even get a meeting with some of the big free agents. They could conceivably take a Turner/Harkless/Leonard in exchange for a first round pick, especially if there is someone they like. That will clear a good chunk from the bottom line, as well as not having to pay the 1st rounder.
The tax apron will be apx. $137M so just as long as our salary remains below that for the entire year, we can use our Full MLE.
I believe his cap hold is $4M. Cap holds are 200% when they're under the average salary I believe. Also, teams dont have to get under the tax-line, you have to get under the tax-apron (which is usually $7M-$8M over the luxury tax. So if the luxury-tax line is $129M, and we use the Full MLE, Bi-Annual Exception, or make a Sign-and-Trade, then our salary has to stay under ~$137M for the rest of the year.
The draft is before free agency so no teams have the cap space yet to take on their contracts at the draft. Lately teams have not been too willing to compromise cap space before even talking to free agents.
Usually basketball insiders is accurate and they have his cap hold the same as his QO of $1.9 million. It may be wrong though and if I remember correctly Crabbe's went up slightly when he played a certain amount of minutes so it could still change. I think it's going to be really difficult after not moving a bad contract yesterday to either get the full-MLE or if we did still avoid getting hard capped at $138 million.
https://stats.nba.com/articles/blazers-play-to-their-strengths-with-acquisition-of-hood/ While it has been, and likely will continue to be, outshined by flashier trade deadline moves, the Portland Trail Blazers’ acquisition of Rodney Hood could have large implications for this year’s playoff run. Heading into the trade deadline, the Trail Blazers (32-21) hold the No. 4 seed in the Western Conference and boast the ninth-best point differential in the league. Portland’s offense ranks ninth in the league in efficiency, their defense ranks 16th. They once again had the look of a team getting as much out of their talented roster as could be expected, but still a piece away from the top tier of contenders. On the surface, Rodney Hood may seem like a strange fit. He’s a much more effective offensive player than a defender and his primary offensive contributions -- 3-point shooting and creating offense off the dribble are well-duplicated elsewhere on the offense, in particular by the backcourt duo of Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. Hood has been averaging 12.2 points, 2.5 rebounds and 2.0 assists per game this season, shooting 42.7 percent from the field and 36.2 percent on 3-pointers. He’s not an exceptional finisher, but his low turnover rate and propensity for drawing fouls make him an efficient scorer on drives to the basket. He’s also a very good shooter off the dribble -- with percentages that are roughly comparable to Lillard and McCollum’s. However, the Trail Blazers offense has continued to evolve over the past few years and it is not just reliant on the individual abilities of McCollum and Lillard, but the ways in which they overlap. With Jusuf Nurkic in the midst of a career year, Lillard and McCollum have also had more opportunities to work off the ball and put more pressure on the defense with the threat of their shooting ability. Nurkic is averaging 5.1 potential assists per game and more than 60 percent of his assists have gone to either McCollum or Lillard. His ability to be an effective fulcrum in the middle of the floor has allowed the Blazers to lean more on him and Evan Turner as complimentary creators, spacing out Lillard and McCollum’s minutes to maximize their return. The Blazers get solid defensive contributions off their bench and they’ve been able to offset a drop in offensive efficiency when either McCollum or Lillard goes to the bench to stay essentially as effective. Adding Hood to the backcourt rotation simply injects more shooting and ball-handling possibly to lineups with both Lillard and McCollum, but primarily to when just one is on the floor. The gamble is that what Hood adds on offense to those units will be significantly more than what he takes away on defense and the Blazers bench-heavy lineups will be that much more dangerous. In addition, adding Hood should reduce the load on Lillard and McCollum and make it viable to play lineups with only one of them on the floor more often and reduce the minutes Portland spends with neither player on the floor. The effects trickling down through their rotation should pay dividends in all sort of places and mean the Blazers have fewer stretches where they’re playing at a significant disadvantage. We usually think about a deadline deal addressing a significant area of need for a team. However, by doubling down on an area of strength, the Blazers look to have greatly improved their rotation and set themselves up take advantage in the playoffs.
thanks for the info. I guess I could have looked it up in the FAQ but that's hard to navigate sometimes
I was glad to hear Olshey tell Jaynes that Jody Allen has no problem going way into the tax to win and isn't as attached to players as Paul was
Of course the numbers could change but the numbers the NBA released as estimates are: Luxury Tax Line $132 million Tax Apron $138 million (always $6 million above the tax line)
since those projections there have also been reports that revenue is down this year. I wonder if that will depress those projections a little. I think the cap this year is 1-2M less than the projections from a year ago
It's funny how far they can be off though. I also had no idea how much the NBA was relying on revenue from sports gambling to establish the cap. Seems dubious at best. Bottom line seems to be they can project as far as one year kind of but more than that they really have no idea.
Me, @hoopsjock, and @PtldPlatypus all know the CBA almost as well as a GM, so just ask and one of us should answer.
