My current projections show Kitz winning by a mere 7000 votes. Margin of error on extrapolation is at least that large. barfo
John Kitzhaber (Democrat) 562,095 47.60% Chris Dudley (Republican) 584,198 49.47% This is from the Sec of State, as of 3:16 am.
Duds is pulling away. John Kitzhaber (Democrat) 562,901 47.57% Chris Dudley (Republican) 585,626 49.49% As of 3:22 am
With that update, I now have Duds winning by 32 votes: 698,597 to 698,629! However, I'm now pretty concerned about the accuracy of the % reported figures, because that last update added a bunch of votes but didn't really change any of the % reporteds. This extrapolation depends entirely on which counties have votes left to count, and how many. Ah well. But if Duds wins by exactly 32 votes, I expect some sort of medal anyway. barfo
I don't know what to think anymore, because I keep hearing all these assurances that Kitzhaber will overtake Dudley, but Duds lead just keeps growing. Anyway, here's the link to the site where you can keep getting the updates. http://egov.sos.state.or.us/division/elections/results/2010G/1314035914.html
As of 3:50 am, Dudley is still pulling away. Chris Dudley (Republican) 590,532 49.56% John Kitzhaber (Democrat) 565,805 47.49%
I'm not sure either, but it does still appear that Multnomah County is very very slow at counting votes. At least their site seems to say that (at least) 280,000 votes were cast; they've counted a little over 180,000. barfo
Are you sure on that number? This link says there was only BALLOTS CAST - TOTAL. . . . . . . 190,864 http://www.co.multnomah.or.us/dbcs/elections/2010-11/results.shtml
No, just till 8, but I think what they are showing there is ballots that came in from remote ballot drops - naturally (some of) those are delivered to the courthouse or wherever they count votes after the polls close. barfo
Reps did well. So were these what we were expecting? I'm not sure. Did Republicans get best case scenerio? Or did they get about what they thought? Or worse than they thought? How bout Dems? Info. is appreciated. Looks like country is headed for gridlock. Probably better than what has been happening recently, tbh.
It will be an embarrassment if Kitzhaber is voted in again after the shitty job he did before. That's right, Oregon, status quo seems to be working just fine. I mean why in the world would you want someone in office that wants to bring business to Oregon?
It has been clear for at least a few weeks (since the most recent economics data) that a republican wave was in the making. The last-to-first type of turnaround in the House is the 2nd greatest in history, but some pundits have said that in these kinds of wave elections the party out of power typically gains both the house and senate. On the other hand, only 1/3rd of the senate is up for election every 2 years and republicans won 2/3 of those; they had to win an unprecedented 9 or 10 seat gain to take the senate. For the Dems, their strategy was rather desperate. They poured their money and human resources (e.g. Clinton, Obama in person) into just a few races - enough to hold the senate. They were actually successful in that regard. Though republicans were elected, I don't get the sense the election was FOR electing republicans as much as it was to throw out the existing crew and to repudiate the agenda undertaken to this point. A 2x4 to the collective foreheads of Washington to get their attention - pay attention to our pressing needs. Republicans so far have mostly said the right things. It remains to be seen if they can deliver, and I'm dubious on that front. Gridlock? I prefer it, frankly, but I'm not sure we're going to get it. More likely, the democrats who managed to keep their office will be far more willing to concede some authority to republicans (or face voter wrath again) and a lot of things will get passed and signed by Obama. The bad news for all concerned (on a getting elected basis) is that 70% of the people feel the country is on the wrong track and 70% of the people see a lack of leadership in Washington. The latter is a reflection on Obama (he's supposed to lead!), but I don't exactly see anyone in the republican ranks who is going to make people want to salute when they walk in the room either. The 2012 election cycle begins now. Obama will surely be his party's candidate unless he chooses not to run. If the status quo is simply maintained, vs. things getting worse or appearing to, republicans have 4 or 5 guys who could make a good go of it: 1) Chris Christie, Governor of New Jersey, articulates the Tea Party principles extremely well and is a likable guy 2) Mitt Romney, former Governor (Executive Branch experience), smart, knowledgeable about finance 3) John Kasich, actually my favorite republican behind Ron Paul. If he leads a turnaround in Ohio, the people might want his magic worked at the Federal level again. He literally wrote the balanced budgets during the Clinton years. 4) Rudy Giuliani, former Mayor of New York, nicknamed "America's Mayor." He seemed rather flat as a presidential candidate last time around, but he may be the most inspirational leader type in the country right now, along with Obama (when he's on his game). (those are in no particular order)
