The Official Win Total Prediction Thread

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by THE HCP, Oct 27, 2015.

  1. BBert

    BBert Weasels Ripped My Flesh

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    Politics 101.

    But I digress.
     
  2. BBert

    BBert Weasels Ripped My Flesh

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    I think mook has an interesting theory. In past years, I've always added a few "optimism" wins to my predictions, and I've been close year after year. This year I struggled between my pessimist/realist guess of 32 and my optimist guess of 36.

    We'll see.
     
  3. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    Ha, mine were similar!
    My pessimistic/realistic prediction was 33.
    My optimistic/realistic prediction was 35.
    My hope was that I was underselling it.

    Honestly, the growth I've seen from the players is better than a regular season win total.

    The team is currently 24-26, or 48.0%
    If they continue at this win rate, they'd finish with about .480*82 = 39.4 wins....
    Well ahead of my predictions - which I'm definitely OK with.

    Note: we're on a 5-game win streak, and things are always going to look better at the end of a win streak (are we at the end?).
     
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  4. mook

    mook The 2018-19 season was the best I've seen

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    Yeah, I definitely see it in politics. I just have to look at my more extremist friends on Facebook. Whether conservative or liberal, they seem absolutely certain how doomed we all are.
     
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  5. mook

    mook The 2018-19 season was the best I've seen

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    Yeah, I'm hoping that this team just continues to improve as the year goes along. We've got the third youngest roster in the league, and that's with the Caveman aging up the bench. As they gain experience they should do better.

    Incidentally--if you click on that link look at the other teams with average ages around 24. Philly, Utah, Milwaukie, Orlando....seems like the light at the end of the tunnel is a lot closer for us. Think Monroe regrets his free agency decision last summer?
     
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  6. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

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    We need a 42 and over secret handshake that will make all the naysayers puke with jealousy.
     
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  7. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    Bump


    Sent from my Baller-Ass 5.5" iPhone 6+......... FAMS
     
  8. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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  9. Nikolokolus

    Nikolokolus There's always next year

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    Why do you hate the Blazers John?
     
  10. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

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    He has a gambling problem.
     
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  11. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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  12. Natebishop3

    Natebishop3 Don't tread on me!

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    He's a Lakers/Kobe fan.
     
  13. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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  14. HomerLovesKoolAid

    HomerLovesKoolAid I have a well-known member.

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    It's not a problem if you don't pay up.
     
  15. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

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    Until he meets Eric's bodyguard
     
  16. theprunetang

    theprunetang Shaedon "Deadly Nightshade" Sharpe is HIM

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    My 40 win prediction is looking pretty solid at this point.
     
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  17. HomerLovesKoolAid

    HomerLovesKoolAid I have a well-known member.

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    Yes, that will be pretty close.
     
  18. e_blazer

    e_blazer Rip City Fan

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    That's not a gambling problem, it's a health problem. ;)
     
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  19. riverman

    riverman Writing Team

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    that stems from a gambling problem...
     
  20. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    Is Casey Calling Out HCP? :)

    In the Rip City Report, he says "everyone knew they were going to win more than 25 games, if you didn't, you just didn't know about this team. You don't have the proper truck (?) to be giving a reasonable opinion about this team."


    :mook:
     

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