The Race for Eighth

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Rastapopoulos, Aug 2, 2020.

  1. KSF-ERIC

    KSF-ERIC Well-Known Member

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    Yep
     
  2. Labinot41

    Labinot41 Well-Known Member

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    Is it possible that the clippers rest their stars against us, to help us getting the 8 seed so we can play their rivals Lakers in the 1st round?
     
  3. blazerkor

    blazerkor Well-Known Member

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    It's possible but I don't know how likely it is. I think it would actually be unlikely because I think they would want to face Dallas in the first round a lot more than Houston, OKC or Utah but I could be wrong. In any case that first round match up would likely be on their minds more than the Lakers' first round opponent.
     
  4. SharpesTriumph

    SharpesTriumph Well-Known Member

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    If Phoenix wins out they will finish above SAS, NOP, SAC. In that case they also need Memphis to lose 3 of 4 games to pass them.

    Date 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
    MEM>> --- OKC --- TOR --- BOS --- MIL
    PDX>> DEN --- LAC PHI --- DAL --- BKN
    PHX>> IND --- MIA --- OKC PHI --- DAL
    SAS>> --- UTH --- NOP --- HOU --- UTH
    NOP>> --- WSH --- SAS --- SAC --- ORL
    SAC>> --- BKN --- HOU --- NOP --- LAL

    Current W L
    MEM 32 37
    PDX 31 38
    PHX 29 39
    SAS 29 38
    NOP 29 39
    SAC 29 39

    Best W L %
    MEM 36 37 0.493
    PDX 36 38 0.486
    PHX 34 39 0.466
    SAS 33 38 0.465
    NOP 33 39 0.458
    SAC 33 39 0.458

    Worst W L %
    MEM 32 41 0.438
    PDX 31 43 0.419
    PHX 29 44 0.397
    SAS 29 42 0.408
    NOP 29 43 0.403
    SAC 29 43 0.403
     
  5. SharpesTriumph

    SharpesTriumph Well-Known Member

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    They are playing the first of a back to back against us followed by Brooklyn. Maybe they rest guys against us and focus on only trying to win the easier Brooklyn game.
     
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  6. SharpesTriumph

    SharpesTriumph Well-Known Member

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    Ok I calculated win percentage if teams have 0, 1, 2 additional losses.

    If we have two losses we need Memphis to lose 3, Phoenix to lose 1, and Spurs to lose 1. New Orleans can't catch us even if we lose two more games!

    If we have 3 losses there might even be a chance we could make it as 9th, Phoenix and Spurs each lose two, plus New Orleans and Sacramento lose 1.

    Additional losses below 0 1 2 3 4
    MEM 0.493 0.479 0.466 0.452 0.438
    PDX 0.486 0.473 0.459 0.446
    PHX 0.466 0.452 0.438
    SAS 0.465 0.451 0.437
    NOP 0.458 0.444 0.431
    SAC 0.458 0.444 0.431

    Ideally lets just win the next two or three games and clinch that 8th seed early! Would be great to give Lillard a rest, only have to win one playin game, and get ready to give the Lakers a tough series.
     
  7. KSF-ERIC

    KSF-ERIC Well-Known Member

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    I’m so impressed with Phoenix and am happy for their fans. Dead last in West restart and just said let’s go for this. That’s how you compete. You just refuse to lose. Go Pacers though.
     
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  8. blazerkor

    blazerkor Well-Known Member

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    I really don't know about us because this is such a different team than we had before the stoppage but all of the rest of these teams should win less games going forward than they lose. They were all below .500, none of them changed significantly (I thought Zion might have changed NOLA but that's not been the case) and they are all playing against better competition. So I think it is very likely that all of the other teams will lose at least two more games and more likely three... I still think Memphis will lose all of the rest of their games. So yeah, I think we'll be in the 8th spot and only have to win one game to get into the playoffs, which we'll do. I'd love to see us lock up the eighth spot early too but I'll just be happy as long as we get into the post-season and make some noise.
     
  9. blazerkor

    blazerkor Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, they're actually a little scary. If they win out and are the 9th place team and we're in 8th, they're the last team I'd want to play. I think we would win one out of two but Booker and Ayton are a scary combo... I mean they aren't close to as scary as Dame and Nurk but still, if they win out, they will be red hot going into the play-in.
     
  10. SharpesTriumph

    SharpesTriumph Well-Known Member

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    Yeah I agree, they are 4-0 so far! They just won now.

    I think even with 3 more losses we may stay above SAS/NOP/SAC.... but I don't think PHX is going to lose two of their next 4, especaily when a team like Dallas probably rests guys the final game.

    So Blazers likely need at least 3 wins and may even need to win 4.
     
  11. KSF-ERIC

    KSF-ERIC Well-Known Member

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    Suns up to 10th now. Only one game behind us.
     
  12. SharpesTriumph

    SharpesTriumph Well-Known Member

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    Maybe it's possible we end up rooting for a Memphis win at some point... so they get the 9th seed instead of Phoenix. If they are both tied Memphis has the head to head tiebreaker, so if Phoenix wins out they still need 3 Memphis losses.

    Obviously more important we get 8th seed locked up first.
     
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  13. blazerkor

    blazerkor Well-Known Member

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    Yeah, they beat the Pacers by 15 and had the game in control the last half of the 4th quarter and the Pacers are good. I don't think we have to worry about them passing us because I think we will win against everyone but the Clippers but who knows. We might lose a few games but Phoenix may also cool off, young teams can be very streaky. One thing is for sure, when the Suns are playing their best, they're pretty damn good.
     
  14. KSF-ERIC

    KSF-ERIC Well-Known Member

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    Yep. I want Memphis to win 1 more game.
     
  15. KSF-ERIC

    KSF-ERIC Well-Known Member

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    They should’ve waited to vote on awards until after restart. Monty Williams and Devon Booker might’ve gotten some votes for Coach of the Year and All-NBA.
     
  16. blazerkor

    blazerkor Well-Known Member

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    Us at 8 and Memphis at 9 is the ideal situation. I still think Memphis will lose out but I hope they don't and we get the easiest path possible.
     
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  17. Titan

    Titan Well-Known Member

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    I keep getting a feeling that the race for 8/9th is between us, phx, and the spurs. this group all plays a bunch of of teams that are locked into the playoffs so those teams might not care and rest players. We kinda at an advantage, but so do the others. Just win!
     
  18. Rastapopoulos

    Rastapopoulos Well-Known Member

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  19. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    The Suns are coming

    4-0 in the restart

    Upcoming:

    MIA
    OKC
    PHI
    DAL
     
  20. SharpesTriumph

    SharpesTriumph Well-Known Member

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    If Memphis loses tomorrow vs OKC we control our own destiny for the 8th seed.
     
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