The race for Home Court Advantage

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by TBpup, Feb 24, 2018.

  1. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    In their last 25 games, Utah has lost 4 times. Once against POR and HOU. And twice against ATL.

    Gotta love the oddities of the NBA
     
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  2. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Hawks beat us too. Destroyed us actually.
     
  3. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    3 months ago. In Atlanta. Without Lillard. We then beat them by even more in Portland less than a week later once at full strength.

    Very, very, very different.
     
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  4. KingSpeed

    KingSpeed Veteran

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    Still bad loss. We were up big and then they came back and thumped us.
     
  5. THE HCP

    THE HCP NorthEastPortland'sFinest

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    And I remember you saying we were going to CRUSH them. Easy win, they were a garbage team.
     
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  6. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

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    [​IMG]

    Minny has a ridiculously easy schedule.
     
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  7. tester551

    tester551 Well-Known Member

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  8. Orion Bailey

    Orion Bailey Forum Troll

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    Would and could are two different things though. ;)
     
  9. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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  10. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

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    Well, I would assume that MEM has the toughest. Followed by PHX, DAL, SAC, LAL, LAC, DEN...or some variation of that group - the suckier you are, the tougher your schedule?
     
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  11. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    They are a garbage team
     
  12. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    Strength of Schedule is based on the quality of your opponents, not the quality of you. Otherwise, it would just be the standings in reverse order.

    BNM
     
  13. Chris Craig

    Chris Craig (Blazersland) I'm Your Huckleberry Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    not really...the sucker teams are already out of the playoffs, they have nothing to play for. no stress. easy street. If the win amazing. If they lose, oh well.
     
  14. blue9

    blue9 Well-Known Member

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    I figured SoS was a combo of the team's "strength" vs their opponents "strength". Like, there's a much larger disparity between PHX and HOU than us and HOU, which I thought would be reflected. Eh - whatever. It matters not.
     
  15. Boob-No-More

    Boob-No-More Why you no hire big man coach?

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    No, strength of schedule is only based on how good your opponents are. So, strength of schedule for remaining games is an average of the strength of all your remaining opponents.

    FiveThirtyEight also publishes game-by-game odds, as well as expected margin. This, I believe, is what you are looking for, and you can find it here:

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-nba-predictions/games/

    So, for example, tonight, BRK plays @TOR, and here's FiveThirtyEight's prediction:

    [​IMG] Nets 7%
    [​IMG] Raptors -15.5 93%

    So, they predict TOR will have a 93% of beating the Nets and the expected margin of victory is 15.5 points.

    BNM
     
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  16. crandc

    crandc Well-Known Member

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    Timberwolves beat Knicks
     
  17. Destroyer of Worlds

    Destroyer of Worlds Active Member

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    That’s not what I said. I said if that is the difference between us beating teams that are barely .500, I (as in, my opinion,) believe that the Blazers will not do very well in the playoffs.
     
  18. Destroyer of Worlds

    Destroyer of Worlds Active Member

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    Once again, if you read the whole thing, I said... in my opinion, we aren’t very good or great if we go 6-6 heading into the playoffs, as suggested. No point in judging based on my opinion, because it doesn’t mean jackshit. That’s why I said I’ll wait to see what happens in the playoffs because my opinion isn’t changing the future. My opinion is, we look good right now, but if we finished the season 6-6, I wouldn’t be surprised by a first round loss.
     
  19. Destroyer of Worlds

    Destroyer of Worlds Active Member

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    When you are that much better than the team you are playing, those factors are vastly mitigated.

    If the Cavs ended the season vs Wizards, Pacers, Philadelphia, Atlanta, Orlando, Pacers... all road games, say they are back to backs, and went 3-3... do you honestly think Cavs fans wouldn’t be worried?

    Fact is, they are the better team, and if they went 3-3, I doubt they’d be a threat in the playoffs.
     
  20. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

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    Blazers were by far the better team last night and from the tip, I didn't like the way they were playing and was worried the Celtic game could be a loss. Still figured they would pull it out in the end. They beat us without their Dame, CJ, Turner and Harkles.....WOW!
     

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