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I think you need to read some stuff by Dave Bartoo or Adam McClintock. They have repeatedly shown that there is a pretty clear formula for determining the CFP rankings, and they nail it every week.
Heard of Bartoo but never read his stuff ... will search him out. Why does it seem like they change their narrative from season to season then?
 
Other than Georgia, I’m not sure I see any of the rest of the contenders as “one of the 4 best”. They all have their weaknesses.
The quiet reality is the Big10 doesn't look that good this season, and I think Michigan is a fraud but Ohio State doesn't look much better. That said it's going to be tough for both of them to be out of the top 4. If it were my rankings right now I'd actually have both Tenneessee and (as painful as it is) oregon in there because I don't think much of TCU either. Vegas is rarely wrong and them having Texas -7 this Saturday is pretty telling.
 
Georgia is trash.
Georgia really is amazing at how they just have that roster stacked with so much talent, especially on defense. To lose the guys they did to the NFL and then drop one of their top LBs and STILL shut down one of the top offenses in the country is damn impressive. More and more the 'narrow' wins in the middle of the season look like a team that was bored more than anything else.
 
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This just cements to me that it’s foolish to schedule these difficult OOC games. If we had taken on cupcake U and were undefeated we would be in the top 4. I get that we are trying to show that we belong, but all it has done is bite us in the ass.

Well, Clemson had a cupcake non conference schedule and their one loss has them much further down the rankings then the Ducks.

When they scheduled Georgia they didn’t realize that Oregon would have a whole new staff and Georgia would be coming off a National championship
 
Another big recruiting weekend is here with the UW game bringing in dozens of recruits. Many of those coming are current Duck class of 2023 verbals coming in on their OVs and there are also many from future classes, but the jewel of the uncommitted 2023 recruits attending is DE David Hicks of Texas. Dude is a game wrecker. He's stated that as a kid Oregon was his dream school, but he's also said he wants to play in a big city. Nonetheless, fingers crossed.



STOMP
 
This just cements to me that it’s foolish to schedule these difficult OOC games. If we had taken on cupcake U and were undefeated we would be in the top 4. I get that we are trying to show that we belong, but all it has done is bite us in the ass.

I tend to agree...however...Oregon's win at Ohio State last year propelled them into the playoff mix. It's also worth pointing out that the Ducks were paid over 3.5M for that trip to Atlanta. That's a solid chunk of change

but it's true that if Oregon was 9-0 with OOC wins against Fresno State, EWU, and BYU, they'd be ahead of TCU right now, in 4th position. They'd still be in the same position though and have to win the next 4 games and that's not likely

there is a giant fork in the road coming up though. If Oregon/Washington go to the Big-10, then, for their OOC schedules it would be idiotic to have every-year-home-&-home games against Beavs/Cougs. Those would become annual trap games for each school where there would be no payoff, at all, for winning, and a huge cost to losing. And for the Beavs/Cougs those games would be their in-season bowl games.

but if Oregon/Washington don't go to the Big-10, the Pac-12 becomes a glorified version of the Mountain West Conference and it very well could be the Ducks have to schedule a Big-10/SEC team every year, and win, to pad their resume enough to get into the playoffs. Although a 12 team playoff might just earmark the Pac-12 champion for an automatic bid (but I'd bet that a 2-loss conference 'lesser' champion would not get in), it's very likely that would be the only team from the conference in the playoffs. meanwhile, the Big-10/SEC would likely each have 4 teams in, every year, and that would just widen the gulf in revenue between the two 'haves' super-conferences and all the 'have-not' conferences like the Pac-12.
 
The CFP committee would LOVE for USC to run the table and be one of the Final-4.
 
The CFP committee would LOVE for USC to run the table and be one of the Final-4.
Sad thing is that UCLA running the table would have a better resume than USC would, yet they'd likely be on the outside looking in without some help from teams ahead of them.
 
The CFP committee would LOVE for USC to run the table and be one of the Final-4.

Why would the CFP committee care? I think the media would love it. (i.e Colin Cowherd) but I doubt anyone else but Trojan fans would.
 
but you know the OPINIONS of those 13 so well as to state whats extremely likely? Whatever dude

STOMP
Please keep getting hung up on one phrase! I get that you didn't like that phrase, it offended your duck fandom ... so let me change it to probably likely in my opinion ... can we move on now?
 
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Please keep getting hung up on one phrase! I get that you didn't like that phrase, it offended your duck fandom ... so let me change it to probably likely in my opinion ... can we move on now?
It didn't offend my fandom whatsoever silly, it offended my sense of honest journalism.

STOMP
 
It didn't offend my fandom whatsoever silly, it offended my sense of honest journalism.

STOMP
Luckily I'm not a journalist in here ... just a fan like everyone else ... funny but we do get to turn that part of our brains off from time to time
 
BTW, Ducks men's basketball lost badly to UC Irvine at home. Dante has to be double or triple teamed to stop him but this team cannot take advantage because no one can shoot threes (4 for 21 last night and I think just as bad in the previous game).
Still no one on the team that brings the toughness of Pritchard, Brooks or Jordan Bell. A couple of the transfers are injured so maybe with Altman's coaching it will get better. Last night he looked the same as last year; very animated and intense, as if he was trying to make up for the team's lack of same.
 
The agony of defeat.
That Huskie qb has a unbelievable arm and a very composed young man.
 
well, you could talk about the Duck play-calling being questionable, and it was definitely questionable. Too cute on the three yard line in the 1st half resulting in a fumble. Going for an onside kick. yet another QB sneak of 3rd and 5 at the Husky 9. Not taking a time-out and getting Nix back in the game on that 4th & 1

or you could talk about the one bad snap that cost the Ducks a great chance at a 2 score lead

but if you don't talk about one of the worst Duck passing defenses, ever, you're talking about the wrong thing
 
well, you could talk about the Duck play-calling being questionable, and it was definitely questionable. Too cute on the three yard line in the 1st half resulting in a fumble. Going for an onside kick. yet another QB sneak of 3rd and 5 at the Husky 9. Not taking a time-out and getting Nix back in the game on that 4th & 1

or you could talk about the one bad snap that cost the Ducks a great chance at a 2 score lead

but if you don't talk about one of the worst Duck passing defenses, ever, you're talking about the wrong thing

All of those.
 

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