With the 7th pick in the 2024 NBA Draft, The Portland Trailblazers select. . .

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by inconceivable, May 12, 2024.

  1. Pinwheel1

    Pinwheel1 Well-Known Member

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    I did not want Murray either before the draft, but realistically how many players that were drafted after Murray have proved to be substantially better? And how many of those did several other teams miss on as well? I am sure there are a few, there are always are. But was it that much of a miss? I honestly don't know
     
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  2. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    The "how many other teams missed" argument is completely irrelevant to me, so I'm going to dismiss that without discussion.

    As to other players proving to be substantially better...first of all, Murray was 47th in VORP in the draft, behind several players drafted after him. Even so, that's really only relevant if we were expecting a player at 23 who would contribute substantially as a rookie. Which, based on Murray's age/profile, he should have if he was a decent pick. Given that he didn't contribute as a rookie--despite clear opportunity--it suggests that a higher-ceiling prospect would likely have been a better investment. Even though we wouldn't have seen better immediate returns, the potential eventual return would still be higher.

    I wanted (higher ceiling) Leonard Miller, and though he only played 17 games, he was better in his few minutes than Murray was in his many. Can we say with any degree of certainty how they might have performed in switched roles? No. Or how either will perform in the next 5 years? No. But I can certainly say that Murray hasn't shown anything in year 1 to substantiate the "Schmitz picks are awesome" mindset.
     
  3. Ed O

    Ed O Administrator Staff Member Administrator

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    I was so happy we took Scoot that I kind of forgave the Murray pick (Miller definitely seemed like a sexier pick to me, too) and I am in a similar spot to you: I don't get the "Schmitz picks are awesome" hype just yet. Sharpe and Scoot... I'm a big fan of each (although I am less sure about Sharpe now than I was at the time of the pick) but there really hasn't been much else for me to get excited about and I'm definitely in "wait and see" mode this draft.
     
  4. Hoopguru

    Hoopguru Well-Known Member

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    Goodpoints however, cant always determine how all player evolves with 1 season? Sure there are a few that pop right away but its smaller percentage of those draft second round. I mean, we used the 3rd pick to draft a PG that struggled for most of the season last year and we had an All Star pg. Going to take a a few years to determine if that was a good move or not?
     
  5. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Yes, which is exactly what my original post was saying. You "have confidence in Mike to recommend the right player at 7 that fits their plan." I don't believe we have enough actual results to support my having that same confidence.
     
  6. Ripcity4life77

    Ripcity4life77 Well-Known Member

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    This draft is exciting in a different way then last years was cause there was will we won't we trade 3 to help Dame etc but this year I think will tell us more of what the future might hold. The reason i say this who they draft at 7 for sure and prolly 14 will tell us who will be in a Blazer uniform as a future piece and who might be gone in a year or less. I mean if they take a guard at 7 this must mean Ant and/or Sharpe will be gone and of course Brogs prolly gone for sure but what if they take a center. This has to mean they are not confident in Ayton being the full time starter and might think he will not even re-sign in two seasons once he is a free agent ( I think he is gone ) .
     
  7. JFizzleRaider

    JFizzleRaider Yeast Lords Global Moderator

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    No idea if Chicago was interested but I wanted us to satisfy our outstanding pick to them instead.
     
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  8. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    There are a lot of good SFs in the draft, just take the best one available, and I'll be happy.
     
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  9. handiman

    handiman Well-Known Member

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    Which ought to tell you how useless rehearsed movements are to game speed improvised actions.
     
  10. Hoopguru

    Hoopguru Well-Known Member

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    That's cool. So since he was involved with Sharp, Rupert?, Scoot, Walker, Camara, Ayton, Murray, Banton, & Duop what grade would you give him based on performance to date? Id go with C
     
  11. CJ_is_Gone

    CJ_is_Gone Well-Known Member

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    They are pointless.

    However, even at game speed - there is not a lot of difference between Edey and Clingan.
     
  12. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Sharpe--B
    Rupert--C (seemed like an obvious pick; he was rated by many as a first-rounder)
    Scoot--N/A (he was the consensus pick at that spot; I wouldn't give Schmitz credit for taking the same guy everybody else would take)
    Walker--A (great to get a rotation player at the end of the 2nd)
    Camara--N/A (traded for him [yes, I know the conventional wisdom that Schmitz was high on him, and that's why we insisted on his inclusion])
    Murray--D (and that might be generous)
    Ayton/Banton/Duop--if we're assessing draft acumen, these aren't relevant.

    Consensus, I'd also give a C (+, maybe B-), but we also have no idea what other players he liked or didn't. Still, my position remains the same: Schmitz has not done enough in his 2 years here to justify blanket confidence in his evaluations.
     
  13. BigGameDamian

    BigGameDamian Well-Known Member

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  14. BIG Q

    BIG Q Well-Known Member

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    So what you are saying is, despite the NBA requiring every draftee to participate in these tests and measurements, they do not mean anything and should be discarded? I find it interesting that when a teams scouts will get together with their management team, they will be citing these tests and measurements as part of the basis player X should be drafted before player Y. Quite honestly, the way I looked at the Clingan/Edey measurements was that Edey put in the work to get drafted as high as possible because he has been called slow and a dinosaur for four years. I thought Edey's numbers were very impressive, especially after Edey ate Clingan's lunch in the title game and then his dinner at the combine. Just my perspective but at this moment, Edey seems to be putting in the work and is getting the desired results. I still want Ware over him, but I would take Edey over Clingan as long as his legs are uniform in length, has good feet and good knees.
     
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  15. handiman

    handiman Well-Known Member

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    They're a crutch. It's a well established fact that the NBA draft is an inexact science. You'd think with only ~30 players in the first round each year, there'd be easily 30 "can't miss" guys worldwide. But no, there are as many failures as there are successes, and even the lottery has a high percentage of whiffs. Talent evaluators are only moderately better than couch potatoes, so they too lean on the measureables that don't have much correlation to career arc.

    The only things of importance from the combine, IMO, are physical measurements and interviews.

    Okay, let's think that through a bit further... If Edey is putting in the work, and that somehow improves his standing as a prospect, then what does that say about his work ethic the past 3.5 years when he was unanimously thought of as too slow? Doesn't that basically make him a contract year player, not to be counted on the other years?

    I'll wager he hasn't actually improved his athleticism [significantly]. He's just excelling at meaningless drills through repetition.
     
  16. Hoopguru

    Hoopguru Well-Known Member

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    Im not sure I have blanket confidence in anything these day?
     
  17. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

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    Given that he's a two-time unanimous player of the year, it seems that he wasn't "too slow" for the NCAA game. I'd say that he was doing what his coach at the college level wanted him to do to be successful at that level, and he is now doing the things his agents and advisors are telling him he needs to do to be successful at the NBA level. It tells me that he's versatile and coachable and willing to do what is necessary to succeed.
     
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  18. Rastapopoulos

    Rastapopoulos Well-Known Member

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    I think that's harsh. Also, I think Murray was a pick that was taken on the assumption that Dame stayed. He was supposed to be a plug-and-play player (like his twin), and kind of there to placate Dame for us taking BPA with Scoot. He would probably look better if surrounded by talent because he can fill a role and not have to create for himself. (I think his shooting will come around.)
    I wonder if we'd've taken him if we knew Dame was gone. (Maybe we would've taken Rupert there...)
     
  19. beast blazer

    beast blazer Well-Known Member

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    Donovan actually kind of reminds me of Joel Pryzbilla. He'll be a good shot blocker, rebounder, and interior defender. But he doesn't seem to have much offensive skill.

    Or perhaps like Hasaan Whiteside without a jumper.
     
  20. inconceivable

    inconceivable Well-Known Member

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    I also said Vanilla Gorilla 2.0
     
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