Good and Bad News on Turner

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by Ripcity4life77, Feb 24, 2019.

  1. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    56,233
    Likes Received:
    54,033
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    NYstateofmind
    This is a great point. The two lobs he throws to Jake every game shouldn't cloud the fact that our spacing is miserable with him and we actually passed the ball better without him.
     
  2. andalusian

    andalusian Season - Restarted

    Joined:
    Sep 24, 2008
    Messages:
    14,427
    Likes Received:
    13,366
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    San Marcos, CA
    Where did you get these numbers and why do you do a ratio of a (ratio to ratio)? If it is based on bball-ref numbers - you are using different populations- the ast% is based on possessions when he was on the floor even if he did not touch the ball, while tov% is per 100 possessions - you can try to normalize it using his usg% and do it for everyone else you want to compare him to, but a simpler solution is to do his direct ast/tov ratio - espn provides this data:

    http://www.espn.com/nba/team/stats/_/name/por/table/game/sort/assistTurnoverRatio/dir/desc

    Based on this data that uses the same population directly used by the player - his ast/to is actually best on the team when we ignore Rodny Hood's small sample size
     
  3. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

    Joined:
    May 7, 2015
    Messages:
    44,453
    Likes Received:
    38,480
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Vancouver, WA
    The fact that you don't understand how stats can easily show a players positive or negative impact on the floor is absolutely ridiculous.
     
  4. CupWizier

    CupWizier Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2009
    Messages:
    11,265
    Likes Received:
    7,664
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    retired
    That's not a fact.
     
    Reep likes this.
  5. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

    Joined:
    May 7, 2015
    Messages:
    44,453
    Likes Received:
    38,480
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Vancouver, WA
    Shit, I trusted Wizenheimer...
     
  6. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

    Joined:
    May 7, 2015
    Messages:
    44,453
    Likes Received:
    38,480
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Vancouver, WA
    It is. Fact: You think that there cant be factual evidence (stats) that shows a player hurts his team when he's in the floor.
     
    Propagandist likes this.
  7. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    56,233
    Likes Received:
    54,033
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    NYstateofmind
    He has the best ast/to ratio as well as the best ast ratio on the team. Still think we make too much of this number while ignoring his overall impact.
     
    BonesJones likes this.
  8. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

    Joined:
    May 7, 2015
    Messages:
    44,453
    Likes Received:
    38,480
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Vancouver, WA
    I see your post was edited by a moderator. So you insulted me after complaining about people insulting you. Ironic.

    Im literally just one of many people who are in the process of calling your posting style. Trying to find that magic number that'll make it click.
     
    Orion Bailey and Propagandist like this.
  9. BonesJones

    BonesJones https://www.youtube.com/c/blazersuprise

    Joined:
    May 7, 2015
    Messages:
    44,453
    Likes Received:
    38,480
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    Vancouver, WA
    Yup. There are much better stats that cover the broader picture and a players overall impact, compared to a stat in isolation looking only at aymaking efficiency.
     
  10. hoopsjock

    hoopsjock Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 31, 2018
    Messages:
    16,302
    Likes Received:
    26,279
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Business Owner
    Location:
    North Plains
    The Hood thing is interesting to me. Since Turner was out last game Hood actually initiated the offense a few times including being the ball handler on the pick and roll. Like you mentioned it was a small sample size but he made some really nice passes out of it and I also trust him more pulling up from about 15 feet if that is what the defense gives him. When Turner runs the pick and roll the defense can just sag off.

    I think it's worth exploring the way some players seem to become better passers in Stotts' offense. We've seen it now with Nurk and Plumlee. Even Kanter had 4 assists last game. I think having several players that can make decent passes and can also shoot is better than having a guy who can't shoot dominate the ball.
     
    oldmangrouch and Orion Bailey like this.
  11. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2008
    Messages:
    20,972
    Likes Received:
    32,865
    Trophy Points:
    113
    first, the numbers are from bbref

    as to why...read what I was responding too: somebody else used Turner's assist rate in an argument. I replied, staying with that argument and that stat, and added turnover rate...two fairly linked stats, I'd say. Now, those rates are team rates while the player is on the floor
     
  12. wizenheimer

    wizenheimer Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2008
    Messages:
    20,972
    Likes Received:
    32,865
    Trophy Points:
    113
    adding to that:

    PER:

    Enes Kanter 33.8 Damian Lillard 23.7 Jusuf Nurkic 23.3 CJ McCollum 16.7 Meyers Leonard 16.2 Jake Layman 15.5 Al-Farouq Aminu 13.6 Zach Collins 13.6 Rodney Hood 11.8 Maurice Harkless 11.3 Evan Turner 11.3 Seth Curry 9.6

    TS:

    Meyers Leonard .676 Enes Kanter .652 Jake Layman .627 Rodney Hood .603 Damian Lillard .588 Al-Farouq Aminu .583 Seth Curry .575 Zach Collins .570 Jusuf Nurkic .567 CJ McCollum .545 Maurice Harkless .530 Evan Turner .498

    winshares/48:

    Enes Kanter .312 Damian Lillard .198 Jusuf Nurkic .188 Meyers Leonard .167 Jake Layman .134 Al-Farouq Aminu .133 Rodney Hood .112 Zach Collins .111 CJ McCollum .104 Maurice Harkless .092 Seth Curry .066 Evan Turner .053

    Box Plus/Minus:

    Enes Kanter 6.5 Jusuf Nurkic 5.4 Damian Lillard 5.2 Meyers Leonard 1.7 Al-Farouq Aminu 1.3 Maurice Harkless 1.0 Jake Layman 0.8 Zach Collins 0.3 CJ McCollum -0.1 Rodney Hood -1.0 Seth Curry -1.9 Evan Turner -2.0

    value over replacement:

    Damian Lillard 3.7 Jusuf Nurkic 2.9 Al-Farouq Aminu 1.4 CJ McCollum 0.9 Meyers Leonard 0.7 Maurice Harkless 0.6 Jake Layman 0.6 Zach Collins 0.6 Enes Kanter 0.1 Rodney Hood 0.0 Seth Curry 0.0 Evan Turner 0.0

    it's a clean sweep for Turner. He's also last on the team in Real Plus/Minus; in fact, he ranks 461st out of 492 NBA players in RPM at -3.62....yikes!

    it's one thing when just an isolated stat shows something. That could be statistical noise or an outlier or an aberration. But when an entire set of gauges measuring impact and efficiency of production all show the same thing, you have to at least consider those numbers are painting an accurate picture
     
    dviss1, BBert, tester551 and 3 others like this.
  13. CupWizier

    CupWizier Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Sep 21, 2009
    Messages:
    11,265
    Likes Received:
    7,664
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    retired
    NEVER did I say that or allude to that.

    The facts are the numbers such as player A averages 10ppg. That's a fact. Saying he plays because he averages 10ppg is an opinion. Do you seriously not understand the difference? A fact can be proven and opinions may or may not be able to be proven and depending on information used to form an opinion helps determine how valid ones opinion is.
     
    Last edited by a moderator: Feb 25, 2019
  14. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2008
    Messages:
    32,109
    Likes Received:
    40,473
    Trophy Points:
    113
    We really have nothing better to do than bicker over what other people claimed was fact or opinion? Really??

    Come on guys--and I mean ALL of you--let's act a little more maturely please?
     
    dviss1, Voodoo, Chris Craig and 5 others like this.
  15. hoopsjock

    hoopsjock Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 31, 2018
    Messages:
    16,302
    Likes Received:
    26,279
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Business Owner
    Location:
    North Plains
    Is that a fact or just your opinion?
     
    dviss1, SlyPokerDog, B-Roy and 2 others like this.
  16. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    56,233
    Likes Received:
    54,033
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    NYstateofmind
    I think it's an unequivocal fact by pretty much any measure that ET is one of our worst players. What's wrong in pointing that out?
     
  17. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2008
    Messages:
    32,109
    Likes Received:
    40,473
    Trophy Points:
    113
    You may notice that I only asked questions, stating neither fact nor opinion.
     
    HailBlazers likes this.
  18. PtldPlatypus

    PtldPlatypus Let's go Baby Blazers! Staff Member Global Moderator Moderator

    Joined:
    Nov 10, 2008
    Messages:
    32,109
    Likes Received:
    40,473
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Nothing. I also think that some are of the opinion that there are ways in which Turner brings value that defy measure.
     
  19. TBpup

    TBpup Writing Team

    Joined:
    Nov 15, 2013
    Messages:
    22,390
    Likes Received:
    34,052
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Occupation:
    Investment Management / Financial Planner
    Location:
    Lake Oswego
    Vulcans like facts.
     
  20. illmatic99

    illmatic99 formerly yuyuza1

    Joined:
    Sep 16, 2008
    Messages:
    56,233
    Likes Received:
    54,033
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Location:
    NYstateofmind
    I dunno, man. Watching him play makes me want to gouge my eyes out. Can't wait for that dumbass contract to expire. It was fine that he played before, but we have alternatives now. And hell, even Terry's realizing it. His minutes are trending down.
     

Share This Page