Exclusive Blazers Salary CAP Info

Discussion in 'Portland Trail Blazers' started by 42N8Bounce, Jun 25, 2015.

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2 cuts are needed. Who will not be on the opening day roster (assuming Omari Johnson will be cut.)?

Poll closed Oct 30, 2015.
  1. Mike Miller

    94.1%
  2. Chris Kaman

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. Phil Pressey

    41.2%
  4. Tim Frazier

    47.1%
  5. Luis Montero

    17.6%
  6. Cliff Alexander

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
Multiple votes are allowed.
  1. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    If we bring back Henderson at $8M, we have $15,738,826 or $19,450,248 in your scenarios.

    It seems like signing Hendo to a deal ASAP would be a good start.

    The salary cap may be $92M, but the Blazers can sign guys up to $91.999999M and then extend Crabbe and end up with more than $92M to spend on the roster.
     
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  2. Draco

    Draco Well-Known Member

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    If we sign new free agents for less than $18 million we can keep all our players. If we want to spend more than that who we keep kind of depends on what position the new guys play.

    Let's say we sign Durant or Batum; we really don't need both Hendo and Crabbe too. Probably renounce Hendo in that case. If we sign Ryan Anderson, Whiteside or Horford we start to have a minutes crunch with our bigs and really don't need Meyers.
     
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  3. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    What ever happened to Phil Pressey, anyway?
     
  4. Boise Blazer

    Boise Blazer Thread Lightly

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    I went to an a Idaho Stampede game about a month ago and he was playing for them
     
  5. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce 0.9

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    http://www.blazersedge.com/2016/6/17/11967088/nba-salary-cap-2016-1017-estimate-increase

     
    Last edited: Jun 17, 2016
  6. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce 0.9

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    With that CAP increase, I estimate Lillard is looking at a salary of about $24.2M.
     
  7. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce 0.9

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    Here's my estimates for this summer (2016):

    Guaranteed:
    - Lillard, $24.2M
    - Aminu, $7.7M
    - Davis, 6.7M
    - McCollum $3.2M
    - Vonleh, $2.7M
    - Plumlee, $2.3M
    - Connaughton, $874,636

    Non-Guaranteed:
    - Montero, $874,636
    - Alexander, $874,636

    Stretched/Waived:
    - Varejao, $2.0M

    CAP Holds:
    - Henderson, $9.0M
    - Leonard, $7.7M (restricted)
    - Harkless, $7.2M (restricted)
    - Kaman, $6.5M
    - Roberts, $3.7M
    - Crabbe, $2.7M (restricted)

    Total Salaries: $88,382,281

    CAP Space: $5,617,720

    Max Space: $44,249,064 (renouncing rights to all free-agents/CAP Holds and Non-Guarantees.)


    Estimated max salaries:
    0-6 yr vet: $22.0M
    7-9 yr vet: $26.4M
    10+ yr vet: $30.8M
     
    Last edited: Jun 18, 2016
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  8. SlyPokerDog

    SlyPokerDog Woof! Staff Member Administrator

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  9. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce 0.9

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  10. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce 0.9

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  11. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce 0.9

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  12. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce 0.9

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  13. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce 0.9

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  14. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce 0.9

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  15. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce 0.9

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    Here are my current calcs for where the Blazers will be next year (2017-18):
    - Assumed CAP: $102,000,000
    - Assumed Tax Level: $122,000,000
    - Assumed CJ will get max contract
    - Assume Plumlee extension: $12,000,000

    Damian Lillard, $26,070,900
    CJ McCollum, $23,908,071 (max assumed)
    Allen Crabbe, $18,500,000
    Evan Turner, $17,131,148
    Mason Plumlee, $12,000,000 (assumed)
    Meyers Leonard, $9,904,494
    Al-Farouq Aminu, $7,319,035
    Festus Ezeli, $7,330,000
    Ed Davis, $6,352, 531
    Noah Vonleh, $3,505,233
    Shabazz Napier, $2,361,360
    Pat Connaughton, $1,014,746
    Jake Layman, $905,249
    Louis Montero, $1,014,756
    Mo Harkless, ?
    Anderson Varejao (waived-stretched), $1,984,005

    Total Salaries: $140,988,997

    With the tax level at $122,000,000, the Blazers will be over the tax limit by $18,988,997. That will cause a tax penalty of:
    $7.5M (first $5M over) + $8.75M (second $5M over) + $12.5M (third $5M over) + $3.25 x $3,988,997 = $41.75M

    By matching Crabbe's offer, we've essentially guaranteed we won't be bringing Plumlee and/or Harkless back in 2017-18, or a significant cost savings trade has to happen.
     
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  16. Denny Crane

    Denny Crane It's not even loaded! Staff Member Administrator

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    The Blazers have until trade deadline of 2017-18 to get under the LT, or else pay it. There is no later date that they can offload salary and get under the tax threshold. So Plums and/or Harkless could be with the team for half a season.

    On the other hand, we have no idea which of our players are worth keeping in 2017-18.

    Also, it's worth looking at 2018-19 as well.

    Davis, Ezeli, Vonleh, Napier, Connaughton, and Montero can all be renounced, saving big bucks.

    It's not an unreasonable option to pay the LT for one season to keep the roster together.
     
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  17. Wizard Mentor

    Wizard Mentor Wizard Mentor

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    Does the Nurkic trade get us out of the luxury tax next year? I assume not, but how close? Does anyone know?

     
  18. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce 0.9

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    Updated calcs for where the Blazers will be next year (2017-18):
    - Assumed CAP: $102,000,000
    - Assumed Tax Level: $122,000,000

    Damian Lillard, $26,153,057
    CJ McCollum, $23,962,573
    Allen Crabbe, $19,332,500
    Evan Turner, $17,131,148
    Meyers Leonard, $9,904,494
    Al-Farouq Aminu, $7,319,035
    Mo Harkless, $9,662,922
    Festus Ezeli, $7,330,000 (non-guaranteed)
    Ed Davis, $6,352, 531
    Noah Vonleh, $3,505,233 (non-guaranteed)
    Jusuf Nurkic, $2,947,305
    Shabazz Napier, $2,361,360 (non-guaranteed)
    Pat Connaughton, $1,471,382 (non-guaranteed)
    Jake Layman, $1,312,611
    Tim Quarterman, $1,312,611
    1st Round Draft Choice (#13), $2,184,400
    1st Round Draft Choice (#23), $1,371,000
    1st Round Draft Choice (#28), $1,179,100
    ~ Anderson Varejao (waived-stretched), $1,984,005

    Total Salaries: $148,464,746

    With the tax level at $122,000,000, the Blazers will be over the tax limit by $26,464,746. That will cause a tax penalty of:
    $7.5M (first $5M over) + $8.75M (second $5M over) + $12.5M (third $5M over) + $16.25M (fourth $5M over) + $18.75M (fifth $5M over) + $4.25 x $1,464,746 = $69,975,170

    We can only have a max of 15 on the roster. There are currently 17 slots above.
    - Assume cut Ezeli
    - Assume cut Napier

    Total Salaries: $138,773,386

    That would generate a tax bill of: $34,513,504

    Wow!
     
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  19. OSUBlazerfan

    OSUBlazerfan Welcome!

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    @42N8Bounce Can i ask why you assumed 102/122 cap/tax vs the actual numbers 113/121? Why are the actual ones so much closer?
     
  20. 42N8Bounce

    42N8Bounce 0.9

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    Here's the link that I used that showed the projections for next year (2017-18), $102M (cap) and $122M (tax):
    http://www.basketballinsiders.com/nba-lowers-2017-18-cap-projection-to-102-million/

    Here's a newer link that estimates $101M (cap) & $121M (tax):
    http://bleacherreport.com/articles/...level-projections-revealed-for-2017-18-season
     
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